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Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski vs R. Rzeszow

Poland Poland

Division 2 2025/2026 Miejski Stadion Sportowy
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski play R. Rzeszow in the Division 2 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski averaged 1.75 goals scored and 0.89 conceded. R. Rzeszow averaged 1.38 goals scored and 1.48 conceded. In past meetings, Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski won 2, R. Rzeszow won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jun 9, 2026 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.56 for Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski and 1.50 for R. Rzeszow. This points to a Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
23%
Draws
28%
R. Rzeszow
Draw rate projection: 23% Favored: Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

79% / High Confidence
  • Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski picked up more points recently compared to R. Rzeszow.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.56 vs 1.50 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 61%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 61%
Over 3.5 Goals 37%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 47%
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski Clean Sheet 16%
R. Rzeszow Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 74%
Second Half Goal 78%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski R. Rzeszow
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 17 8
Draws 5 9
Losses 6 12
Goals Scored 1.75 1.38
Goals Conceded 0.89 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 9, 2026 Division 2
R. Rzeszow vs Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
3:0
Jun 6, 2026 Division 2
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski vs R. Rzeszow
0:1
Feb 7, 2026 Club Friendly
R. Rzeszow vs Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
0:3
Feb 8, 2025 Club Friendly
R. Rzeszow vs Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
2:2
Jan 29, 2022 Club Friendly
R. Rzeszow vs Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski Compare

Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

R. Rzeszow Compare

Top Goalscorer Czyzycki M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski 47 / 100
R. Rzeszow 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski R. Rzeszow

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +19.6%
2.44
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.82
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski attacking → ← attacking R. Rzeszow

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski scored in 75% of their last 28 games.

R. Rzeszow let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

R. Rzeszow lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

56 Points in last 5 33
1.75 Goals expected (xG) 1.88
1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38