Sport Picks
Otepaa vs Metropool Parnu Prediction & H2H Stats
Estonia
Estonian Cup 2011/2012 
AI Match Summary
This match ends 3-0, with Otepaa advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
34%
15%
51%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Metropool Parnu
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Otepaa carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Metropool Parnu's way, sitting at 90%.
- Otepaa have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Otepaa, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 89%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 89%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Otepaa Clean Sheet 10%
Metropool Parnu Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Otepaa | Metropool Parnu |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 23 | 11 |
| Wins | 11 | 4 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 12 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 2.61 | 2.55 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.39 | 3.36 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.23 | 2.73 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 17, 2011 Estonian Cup
Otepaa vs Metropool Parnu
3:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Otepaa 10 / 100
Metropool Parnu 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Otepaa Metropool Parnu
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Metropool Parnu Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Otepaa scored in 83% of their last 23 games.
Metropool Parnu let in goals in 91% of their last 11 matches.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Otepaa went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Otepaa VS Metropool Parnu
1.75 Goals Scored 3.71
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.71
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 100%
Recent Form & Match History
Otepaa
(Home) 09 Oct
Eston Villa II
3 : 0 Otepaa
13 Aug
Parnu Sadam
1 : 2 Otepaa
27 Jun
Jogeva
2 : 4 Otepaa
18 Jul
Jogeva
7 : 3 Otepaa
25 Jul
Zenit Tallinn
5 : 2 Otepaa
Page 1 of 5
21 Jun
Otepaa
6 : 0 JK Jalgpallihaigla
08 Jun
Otepaa
1 : 2 Narva United
15 Jul
Otepaa
0 : 2 Rakvere
12 Jun
Otepaa
2 : 1 Dinamo Tallinn
19 Jul
Otepaa
0 : 1 Tartu SK 10 II
Page 1 of 2
Metropool Parnu
(Away) 03 Sept
Nomme Utd
8 : 0 Metropool Parnu
29 Jul
Jogeva
1 : 4 Metropool Parnu
30 Jun
Rapla
2 : 6 Metropool Parnu
06 Aug
Metropool Parnu
3 : 4 FC Ararat
16 Jul
Metropool Parnu
3 : 1 Raasiku Valla
Page 1 of 3
03 Sept
Nomme Utd
8 : 0 Metropool Parnu
29 Jul
Jogeva
1 : 4 Metropool Parnu
30 Jun
Rapla
2 : 6 Metropool Parnu
18 Jun
Maardu Linnameeskond
3 : 1 Metropool Parnu
17 Aug
Otepaa
3 : 0 Metropool Parnu
Page 1 of 2
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Paide Linnameeskond -
TBD -
TBD -
Tabasalu II -
SK Taaksi -
TBD -
TBD -
Kivioli Irbis -
Voru -
TBD -
TBD -
Tallina Mercury -
Tammeka Tartu II 5
Valga Warrior 1
TBD -
Sillamae Kalev -
Saaremaa -
TBD -
TBD -
Saku Sporting -
Tallinn Piraaja -
TBD -
TBD -
Leisi -
Soccernet -
TBD -
Warrior Valga II 2
Akhtamar 4
Quattromed -
TBD -
Reaal 1
Parnu Linnameeskond 9
Tammeka Tartu -
TBD -
TBD -
Pokkeriprod -
Olympic Tallinn 6
FC KIIU 1
Otepaa II 0
Raasiku Joker 5
Tartu JK Welco 1
Tallinna Kalev III 0
TBD -
Loo JK -
Ambla -
TBD -
Lasnamae 0
Kuressaare 6
Maardu Linnameeskond 3
Kose 0
TBD -
Rapla -
Jogeva 2
Saue JK Laagri 1
JK Luunja 0
Elva 1
Navi Vutiselts -
TBD -
TBD -
JK Visadus -
Legion -
TBD -
Tartu SK 10 2
Narva 4
Levadia 8
Kohtla-Jarve Lootus 0
Kalju III 0
Kalju 14
Kristiine -
TBD -
Haiba 0
FCI Tallinn 8
Otepaa 9
SK EPMU Tartu 1
TBD -
Metropool Parnu -
Tapa 2
Igiliikur 1
SaareMaa JK aaMeraaS 2
Tallinna Kalev 10
Paide Linnameeskond U21 -
TBD -
TBD -
Sorve -
Ulikool Tallinn -
TBD -
TBD -
Ganvix Turi -
FC Ararat 3
Tulevik 1
TBD -
Castovanni Eagles -
Premium Tartu -
TBD -
TBD -
Flora Tallinn U21 -
Viljandi 7
Kaitseliit 2
Tabivere 1
Rada Kuusalu 2
Vastseliina Tannem -
TBD -
Toompea 1994 1
Johvi Phoenix 12
Keila JK 3
Nomme Utd 1
Twister Tallinn 1
Tabasalu 9
Eston Villa -
TBD -
TBD -
Rakvere -
FC Lootos Polva -
TBD -
Tallinna Kalev II 1
Jarva-Jaani 4
Kaitseliit II -
TBD -
TBD -
Kalju II -
Puuma -
TBD -
TBD -
Kardla -
Lelle 2
Viimsi JK 1
JK Jalgpallihaigla 0
Flora 17
1/32-finals
Paide Linnameeskond 8
Tabasalu II 0
SK Taaksi 1
Kivioli Irbis 8
Voru 5
Tallina Mercury 0
Tammeka Tartu II 0
Sillamae Kalev 6
Saaremaa -
Saku Sporting -
Tallinn Piraaja 2
Leisi 3
Soccernet 4
Akhtamar 3
Quattromed 1
Parnu Linnameeskond 5
Tammeka Tartu 24
Pokkeriprod 0
Olympic Tallinn 0
Raasiku Joker 3
Tartu JK Welco 5
Loo JK 2
Ambla 0
Kuressaare 7
Maardu Linnameeskond 4
Rapla 0
Jogeva 2
Elva 2
Navi Vutiselts 2
JK Visadus 0
Legion 0
Narva 7
Levadia 2
Kalju 1
Kristiine 0
FCI Tallinn 9
Otepaa 3
Metropool Parnu 0
Tapa 0
Tallinna Kalev 8
Paide Linnameeskond U21 1
Sorve 0
Ulikool Tallinn 2
Ganvix Turi 3
FC Ararat 3
Castovanni Eagles 2
Premium Tartu 0
Flora Tallinn U21 3
Viljandi 3
Rada Kuusalu 0
Vastseliina Tannem 1
Johvi Phoenix 9
Keila JK -
Tabasalu -
Eston Villa 0
Rakvere 5
FC Lootos Polva 6
Jarva-Jaani 1
Kaitseliit II 1
Kalju II 10
Puuma 3
Kardla 1
Lelle 0
Flora 13
1/16-finals
Paide Linnameeskond 3
Kivioli Irbis 1
Voru 0
Sillamae Kalev 8
Saaremaa 1
Leisi 0
Soccernet 0
Parnu Linnameeskond 13
Tammeka Tartu 4
Raasiku Joker 1
Tartu JK Welco 1
Kuressaare 2
Maardu Linnameeskond 2
Elva 1
Navi Vutiselts 0
Narva 9
Levadia 5
FCI Tallinn 0
Otepaa 0
Tallinna Kalev 7
Paide Linnameeskond U21 3
Ganvix Turi 2
FC Ararat 1
Flora Tallinn U21 2
Viljandi 3
Johvi Phoenix 0
Keila JK 2
Rakvere 5
FC Lootos Polva 5
Kalju II 4
Puuma 1
Flora 4
1/8-finals
Paide Linnameeskond 4
Sillamae Kalev 3
Saaremaa 1
Parnu Linnameeskond 4
Tammeka Tartu 7
Kuressaare 0
Maardu Linnameeskond 0
Narva 6
Levadia 4
Tallinna Kalev 1
Paide Linnameeskond U21 0
Flora Tallinn U21 1
Viljandi 2
Rakvere 1
FC Lootos Polva 0
Flora 9
Quarter-finals
Paide Linnameeskond 4
Parnu Linnameeskond 0
Tammeka Tartu 1
Narva 2
Levadia 2
Flora Tallinn U21 0
Viljandi 0
Flora 3
Semi-finals
Levadia 1
Flora 0
Paide Linnameeskond 0
Narva 1
Final
Levadia 3
Narva 0
