Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Otwock vs Warta Sieradz

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group VI
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Otwock in this III Liga - Group VI matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Otwock.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Otwock
6%
Draws
90%
Warta Sieradz
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Warta Sieradz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Warta Sieradz lately — more wins on the board than Otwock.
  • Win probability leans Warta Sieradz's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular III Liga - Group VI form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Otwock Clean Sheet 16%
Warta Sieradz Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Otwock Warta Sieradz
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 4 17
Draws 3 7
Losses 23 5
Goals Scored 0 1.88
Goals Conceded 0 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 14, 2016 III Liga - Group VI
Otwock vs Warta Sieradz
1:0
Oct 10, 2015 III Liga - Group VI
Warta Sieradz vs Otwock
5:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Otwock 10 / 100
Warta Sieradz 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Otwock Warta Sieradz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick WAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Warta Sieradz's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

Otwock found the back of the net in 37% of recent matches (30 games).

Otwock has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Warta Sieradz
0 Goals Scored 1.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Otwock

(Home)
04 Jun
Swit Mazowiecki
5 : 0
Otwock
01 Jun
Otwock
0 : 0
Ner Poddebice
28 May
Polonia Warszawa
5 : 1
Otwock
22 May
Otwock
0 : 6
Ursus Warszawa
18 May
Warta Dzialoszyn
2 : 0
Otwock
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Warta Sieradz

(Away)
25 Jul
Warta Sieradz
3 : 0
Sokol Aleksandrow Lodz
17 Jul
Kluczbork
1 : 3
Warta Sieradz
15 Jul
Warta Sieradz
2 : 1
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
11 Jul
Warta Sieradz
3 : 4
Elana Torun
08 Jul
Warta Sieradz
1 : 0
LKS Lodz II
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Polonia Warszawa34215862:2568
2Ursus Warszawa34198756:2665
3Sokol Aleksandrow Lodz341811553:2465
4Tomaszow Mazowiecki34198779:3765
5Legia II34198766:3865
6LKS Lodz34197871:3764
7Pelikan341810658:2964
8Swit Mazowiecki341712561:2763
9Blekitni Raciaz341581156:5253
10Warta Sieradz341271543:4643
11Bron Radom349101551:7037
12Warta Dzialoszyn341051933:8235
13Pilica Bialobrzegi341042048:6034
14Oskar Przysucha34781942:7829
15Energia Kozienice34691941:6427
16Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki34691936:6027
17Otwock34642424:8622
18Ner Poddebice34492131:7021
Promotion - III Liga - Group I 2015/2016 (Play Offs)