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Ouanaminthe vs America des Cayes

Haiti Haiti

Championnat National 2024
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AI Match Summary

The Championnat National 2024 game between Ouanaminthe and America des Cayes finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ouanaminthe.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Ouanaminthe
40%
Draws
29%
America des Cayes
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and America des Cayes come out ahead of Ouanaminthe on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Championnat National 2024 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Ouanaminthe Clean Sheet 18%
America des Cayes Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ouanaminthe America des Cayes
Matches Played 30 27
Wins 10 11
Draws 8 9
Losses 12 7
Goals Scored 0.88 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.88 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 22, 2024 Championnat National
Ouanaminthe vs America des Cayes
3:1
Dec 13, 2020 Championnat National
America des Cayes vs Ouanaminthe
1:0
Oct 27, 2019 Championnat National
Ouanaminthe vs America des Cayes
0:0
Apr 21, 2019 Championnat National
America des Cayes vs Ouanaminthe
1:0
Nov 23, 2017 Championnat National
America des Cayes vs Ouanaminthe
2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ouanaminthe 32 / 100
America des Cayes 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ouanaminthe America des Cayes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ouanaminthe scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

America des Cayes's defensive record shows goals conceded in 46% of 26 matches.

Recent resilience: Ouanaminthe stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ouanaminthe VS America des Cayes
0.88 Goals Scored 0.75
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 13%
50% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Real Hope22004:06
2Tempete21011:23
3Cavaly20020:30
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ouanaminthe21104:24
2America des Cayes21012:33
3Baltimore20111:21