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Stadium Background

Oued Ellil vs Megrine

Tunisia Tunisia

Ligue 2 2024/2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Ligue 2 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Oued Ellil
35%
Draws
22%
Megrine
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Oued Ellil

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Megrine lately — more wins on the board than Oued Ellil.
  • 43% — that's where the model lands on Oued Ellil taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Oued Ellil Clean Sheet 68%
Megrine Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Oued Ellil Megrine
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 8 11
Draws 9 10
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 0.9 1.18
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2025 Ligue 2
Oued Ellil vs Megrine
0:0
Nov 24, 2024 Ligue 2
Megrine vs Oued Ellil
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Oued Ellil 77 / 100
Megrine 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Oued Ellil Megrine

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Oued Ellil Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Oued Ellil scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Megrine conceded in 73% of 33 recent games.

Solid form: Oued Ellil remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

H2H data points to 0.50 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Oued Ellil VS Megrine
1 Goals Scored 0.75
2 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 63%
100% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Oued Ellil

(Home)
08 Feb
Sahline
2 : 1
Oued Ellil
24 May
Kalaa
2 : 2
Oued Ellil
17 May
Oued Ellil
2 : 1
EM Mahdia
10 May
Ariana
0 : 1
Oued Ellil
05 May
Oued Ellil
1 : 1
Hammam-Lif
Page 1 of 6

Megrine

(Away)
11 May
Bousalem
2 : 2
Megrine
01 May
Megrine
1 : 1
BS Bouhajla
27 Apr
Sporting Ben Arous
1 : 1
Megrine
18 Apr
Megrine
0 : 0
EM Mahdia
13 Apr
Hammam-Lif
3 : 0
Megrine
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AS Marsa 26 15 8 3 40:17 53
2 Megrine 26 15 7 4 49:23 52
3 Jendouba Sport 26 14 7 5 38:19 49
4 Hamam-Sousse 26 8 12 6 36:28 36
5 Korba 26 9 9 8 22:28 36
6 Hammam-Lif 26 8 10 8 25:26 34
7 Msaken 26 7 12 7 18:17 33
8 Ariana 26 10 3 13 33:33 33
9 Kalaa 26 8 7 11 30:34 31
10 EM Mahdia 26 9 4 13 26:37 31
11 Moknine 26 7 9 10 27:30 30
12 Menzel Bourguiba 26 7 9 10 18:27 30
13 Oued Ellil 26 6 9 11 23:32 27
14 Rades 26 2 8 16 16:50 14
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 2025/2026 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 JS Kairouan 26 15 9 2 30:11 54
2 Kasserine 26 16 5 5 36:17 53
3 Kerkennah 26 12 8 6 36:21 44
4 Sfax Railways 26 12 8 6 35:22 44
5 PS Sakiet Eddaier 26 13 5 8 32:23 44
6 BS Bouhajla 26 9 6 11 21:22 33
7 Redeyef 26 10 3 13 23:25 33
8 Djelma 26 9 5 12 26:26 32
9 Sidi Bouzid 26 8 8 10 27:28 32
10 Chebba 26 9 5 12 24:29 32
11 Stade Gabesien 26 8 6 12 13:23 30
12 AS Agareb 26 7 9 10 23:35 30
13 ES Jerba 26 6 8 12 15:24 26
14 Espoir Rogba 26 3 5 18 19:54 13
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 2025/2026 (Main)