Sport Picks
Oxford City vs Chester
England
National League North 2025/2026 RAW Charging Stadium, Oxford 
Match Events
22'
22'
Shrimpton F.
25'
25'
Davies T.
53'
53'
Taylor M.
AI Match Summary
The National League North 2025/2026 game between Oxford City and Chester finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Chester.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
64%
15%
21%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Oxford City
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
64%
/ High Confidence
- Chester carry the better recent record into this one.
- Oxford City are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Chester have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Oxford City Clean Sheet 20%
Chester Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Oxford City | Chester |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 16 | 17 |
| Draws | 6 | 5 |
| Losses | 7 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.69 | 1.24 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.93 | 0.76 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 0.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 18, 2026 National League North
Oxford City vs Chester
1:2
Aug 25, 2025 National League North
Chester vs Oxford City
2:1
Feb 25, 2025 National League North
Oxford City vs Chester
0:0
Nov 26, 2024 National League North
Chester vs Oxford City
3:1
Jan 9, 2013 National League North
Chester vs Oxford City
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Oxford City Compare
Top Goalscorer Taylor M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
Chester Compare
Top Goalscorer Shrimpton F.
1 Goals Assists Leader Davies T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Oxford City 85 / 100
Chester 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Oxford City Chester
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Oxford City Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Oxford City's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.
Oxford City has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Away concern: Chester has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Oxford City VS Chester
2 Goals Scored 0.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 13%
38% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Oxford City
(Home) 19 Sept
Dorchester
0 : 2 Oxford City
12 Sept
Radcliffe
0 : 3 Oxford City
08 Sept
Telford
1 : 0 Oxford City
05 Sept
Oxford City
4 : 0 Chorley
31 Aug
Worksop
0 : 1 Oxford City
Page 1 of 6
05 Sept
Oxford City
4 : 0 Chorley
28 Aug
Oxford City
2 : 3 Buxton
18 Aug
Oxford City
1 : 1 Harborough
08 Aug
Oxford City
1 : 0 Bedford
25 Jul
Oxford City
1 : 2 Walton & Hersham
Page 1 of 3
Chester
(Away) 19 Sept
Lower Breck
1 : 2 Chester
12 Sept
Buxton
3 : 1 Chester
08 Sept
Chester
0 : 1 Merthyr Town
05 Sept
Hebburn Town
1 : 1 Chester
31 Aug
Chester
0 : 1 Morecambe
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Lower Breck
1 : 2 Chester
12 Sept
Buxton
3 : 1 Chester
05 Sept
Hebburn Town
1 : 1 Chester
29 Aug
Hereford
1 : 1 Chester
18 Aug
Darlington FC
0 : 1 Chester
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AFC Fylde | 46 | 32 | 4 | 10 | 112:51 | 100 |
| 2 | South Shields | 46 | 28 | 11 | 7 | 99:43 | 95 |
| 3 | Kidderminster | 46 | 25 | 12 | 9 | 74:51 | 87 |
| 4 | Macclesfield | 46 | 24 | 7 | 15 | 81:68 | 79 |
| 5 | Buxton | 46 | 22 | 7 | 17 | 83:61 | 73 |
| 6 | Scarborough Athletic | 46 | 19 | 16 | 11 | 61:52 | 73 |
| 7 | Chester | 46 | 20 | 13 | 13 | 66:64 | 73 |
| 8 | Merthyr Town | 46 | 22 | 4 | 20 | 95:86 | 70 |
| 9 | Darlington FC | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 78:68 | 69 |
| 10 | Spennymoor | 46 | 19 | 11 | 16 | 62:69 | 68 |
| 11 | Telford | 46 | 17 | 14 | 15 | 85:65 | 65 |
| 12 | Marine | 46 | 18 | 8 | 20 | 62:72 | 62 |
| 13 | Radcliffe | 46 | 18 | 6 | 22 | 76:83 | 60 |
| 14 | Southport | 46 | 16 | 12 | 18 | 64:71 | 60 |
| 15 | Chorley | 46 | 15 | 12 | 19 | 66:65 | 57 |
| 16 | Worksop | 46 | 16 | 9 | 21 | 66:74 | 57 |
| 17 | Oxford City | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 62:67 | 56 |
| 18 | Bedford | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 66:77 | 53 |
| 19 | King’s Lynn | 46 | 12 | 16 | 18 | 56:64 | 52 |
| 20 | Hereford | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 64:79 | 52 |
| 21 | Curzon Ashton | 46 | 13 | 13 | 20 | 67:88 | 52 |
| 22 | Alfreton | 46 | 12 | 14 | 20 | 49:82 | 50 |
| 23 | Peterborough Sports | 46 | 10 | 9 | 27 | 51:96 | 39 |
| 24 | Leamington | 46 | 7 | 8 | 31 | 41:90 | 29 |
Promotion - National League (Main)
Promotion - National League North 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League North 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
