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Oxford Utd W vs Lewes W

England England

Women's National League South
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Oxford Utd W play Lewes W in the Women's National League South. It looks like a close match. Recently, Oxford Utd W averaged 2 goals scored and 1.1 conceded. Lewes W averaged 2.43 goals scored and 1.07 conceded. In past meetings, Oxford Utd W won 3, Lewes W won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 26, 2026 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.69 for Oxford Utd W and 2.13 for Lewes W. This points to a Oxford Utd W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Oxford Utd W
15%
Draws
38%
Lewes W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Oxford Utd W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence
  • Oxford Utd W picked up more points recently compared to Lewes W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.69 vs 2.13 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 57%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 78%
Over 2.5 Goals 57%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 40%
Oxford Utd W Clean Sheet 10%
Lewes W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 70%
Second Half Goal 74%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Oxford Utd W Lewes W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 19 17
Draws 3 2
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 2 2.43
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 3.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Women's National League South
Oxford Utd W vs Lewes W
2:0
Nov 30, 2025 Women's National League South
Lewes W vs Oxford Utd W
0:1
Feb 23, 2025 Women's National League South
Lewes W vs Oxford Utd W
1:1
Sep 22, 2024 Women's National League South
Oxford Utd W vs Lewes W
1:2
Jan 8, 2012 Women’s FA Cup
Oxford Utd W vs Lewes W
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Oxford Utd W 44 / 100
Lewes W 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Oxford Utd W Lewes W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Oxford Utd W or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +20.3%
2.56
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.7%
1.96
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Oxford Utd W attacking → ← attacking Lewes W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Oxford Utd W scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Lewes W let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Oxford Utd W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Lewes W lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

60 Points in last 5 53
2.38 Goals expected (xG) 3.38
0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Watford W22172380:2453
2Plymouth W22164261:1152
3Bournemouth W22144461:2046
4Oxford Utd W22123744:2739
5Lewes W22121946:2737
6Real Bedford W22931042:3430
7Exeter W22931039:3530
8Cheltenham W22731231:4624
9Hashtag W22651134:3823
10AFC Wimbledon W22641230:4822
11Gwalia United W22641228:4622
12Billericay W2200225:1450