Sport Picks

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Ozgon vs Alay Osh

Kyrgyzstan Kyrgyzstan

Premier Liga
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Aliyev O.

AI Match Summary

Ozgon in this Premier Liga matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ozgon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Ozgon
17%
Draws
13%
Alay Osh
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Ozgon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Alay Osh haven't matched Ozgon's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Ozgon's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Premier Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Alay Osh have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Ozgon Clean Sheet 20%
Alay Osh Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ozgon Alay Osh
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 16 13
Draws 3 8
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.63 1
Goals Conceded 1.25 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 Premier Liga
Ozgon vs Alay Osh
1:0
Oct 30, 2025 Premier Liga
Ozgon vs Alay Osh
0:1
Mar 10, 2025 Premier Liga
Alay Osh vs Ozgon
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ozgon Compare

Top Goalscorer Aliyev O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Alay Osh Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ozgon 67 / 100
Alay Osh 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ozgon Alay Osh

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick OZG Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ozgon found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Alay Osh let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Solid form: Ozgon remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Ozgon VS Alay Osh
1.63 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ozgon

(Home)
10 Jul
Ilbirs
0 : 1
Ozgon
04 Jul
Ozgon
1 : 0
Alay Osh
28 Jun
Ozgon
0 : 1
Talant
21 Jun
Ozgon
2 : 1
Toktogul
13 Jun
Aldier
1 : 4
Ozgon
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Alay Osh

(Away)
10 Jul
Alay Osh
1 : 0
Toktogul
04 Jul
Ozgon
1 : 0
Alay Osh
22 Jun
Alay Osh
0 : 2
Aldier
12 Jun
Talant
1 : 2
Alay Osh
25 May
Alay Osh
2 : 0
Dordoi Bishkek
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Muras United15113135:1436
2Alga Bishkek15105031:1335
3Bars15102343:2232
4Ozgon15102327:1432
5Asia Talas15102337:2632
6Alay Osh1574417:1525
7Aldier1565423:2123
8Dordoi Bishkek1553719:2118
9Talant1537515:1616
10Bishkek City1544715:2216
11Asiagoal Bishkek1535717:2614
12Neftchi Kochkor-Ata1542915:2514
13Ilbirs1527615:2613
14Toktogul15411013:2413
15Abdysh-Ata Kant15221112:278
16Kyrgyzaltyn15041112:344
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