Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Pachuca vs Queretaro

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX Estadio Miguel Hidalgo, Pachuca de Soto
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Rondon S.
Assist: Idrissi O.
34'
Duarte B.
49'
Kenedy R.

AI Match Summary

Queretaro in this Liga MX matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Queretaro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Pachuca
30%
Draws
33%
Queretaro
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Pachuca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Queretaro haven't matched Pachuca's recent run of results.
  • 37% — that's where the model lands on Pachuca taking it.
  • Regular Liga MX form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Pachuca Clean Sheet 20%
Queretaro Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pachuca Queretaro
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 16 10
Draws 5 9
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 1.6 1.11
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 27, 2026 Liga MX
Pachuca vs Queretaro
1:2
Feb 1, 2026 Liga MX
Queretaro vs Pachuca
0:0
Sep 20, 2025 Liga MX
Pachuca vs Queretaro
0:2
Jan 30, 2025 Liga MX
Queretaro vs Pachuca
0:1
Aug 31, 2024 Liga MX
Pachuca vs Queretaro
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pachuca Compare

Top Goalscorer Rondon S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Queretaro Compare

Top Goalscorer Avila A.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pachuca 49 / 100
Queretaro 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pachuca Queretaro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pachuca Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 8:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pachuca scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Queretaro's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Pachuca went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pachuca VS Queretaro
1.13 Goals Scored 0.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Pachuca

(Home)
12 Sept
Atlante
0 : 3
Pachuca
05 Sept
Juarez
0 : 2
Pachuca
29 Aug
Pachuca
1 : 1
Guadalajara Chivas
23 Aug
Atletico San Luis
1 : 1
Pachuca
18 Aug
Pachuca
2 : 3
Puebla
Page 1 of 6

Queretaro

(Away)
12 Sept
Club Tijuana
0 : 1
Queretaro
29 Aug
Atlas
1 : 3
Queretaro
22 Aug
Queretaro
1 : 2
Toluca
16 Aug
UNAM Pumas
0 : 0
Queretaro
13 Aug
Los Angeles FC
2 : 1
Queretaro
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Toluca 8 6 1 1 18:6 19
2 Guadalajara Chivas 8 5 2 1 15:6 17
3 Club America 7 5 1 1 15:6 16
4 Cruz Azul 8 5 0 3 16:14 15
5 Puebla 9 4 2 3 11:11 14
6 Atlas 9 4 2 3 13:15 14
7 Queretaro 7 4 1 2 10:7 13
8 Club Leon 8 4 1 3 11:9 13
9 Club Tijuana 7 4 1 2 10:8 13
10 UNAM Pumas 9 3 3 3 12:13 12
11 Pachuca 8 3 2 3 13:8 11
12 Monterrey 7 3 1 3 13:10 10
13 Atletico San Luis 9 2 3 4 11:16 9
14 Atlante 9 1 5 3 8:13 8
15 Necaxa 9 2 2 5 10:16 8
16 Tigres UANL 9 1 4 4 9:13 7
17 Santos Laguna 8 1 1 6 6:13 4
18 Juarez 9 1 0 8 6:23 3
Promotion - Liga MX (Apertura - Play Offs)