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Paderborn II vs Emden Prediction & H2H Stats

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

57' Event
de Jong T.
61' Event
Ermolaev G.
67' Event
Schiller D.

AI Match Summary

Paderborn II in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Paderborn II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Paderborn II
15%
Draws
48%
Emden
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Emden

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Emden lately — more wins on the board than Paderborn II.
  • 48% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Paderborn II Clean Sheet 10%
Emden Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paderborn II Emden
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 13 14
Draws 8 5
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.65 2.48
Goals Conceded 1.42 2.28
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 18, 2026 Club Friendly
Paderborn II vs Emden
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Paderborn II Compare

Top Goalscorer de Jong T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ermolaev G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Emden Compare

Top Goalscorer Schiller D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paderborn II 34 / 100
Emden 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paderborn II Emden

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Emden Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Emden let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

Paderborn II's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Paderborn II went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Paderborn II VS Emden
1.88 Goals Scored 2.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Paderborn II

(Home)
04 Oct
Rot-Weiss Oberhausen
4 : 0
Paderborn II
25 Sept
Gutersloh
1 : 3
Paderborn II
21 Sept
Paderborn II
1 : 1
Dortmund II
12 Sept
Wiedenbruck
1 : 0
Paderborn II
06 Sept
Paderborn II
5 : 2
SG Wattenscheid
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Emden

(Away)
03 Oct
Emden
1 : 2
Todesfelde
26 Sept
St. Pauli II
0 : 2
Emden
19 Sept
Emden
5 : 0
Schoningen
15 Sept
Drochtersen / Assel
8 : 2
Emden
12 Sept
Emden
4 : 1
Jeddeloh
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