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Paderborn vs Okayama

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Michel S.
45' Event
Michel S.
59' Event
Kamiya Yuta

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Paderborn and Okayama finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Paderborn.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Paderborn
6%
Draws
4%
Okayama
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Paderborn

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Paderborn carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Paderborn a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Paderborn Clean Sheet 14%
Okayama Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paderborn Okayama
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 14 11
Draws 7 2
Losses 8 17
Goals Scored 1.5 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.5 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 17, 2026 Club Friendly
Paderborn vs Okayama
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Paderborn Compare

Top Goalscorer Michel S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Klaas S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Okayama Compare

Top Goalscorer Kamiya Yuta
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paderborn 84 / 100
Okayama 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paderborn Okayama

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PAD Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Paderborn found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).

Okayama's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Paderborn remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Paderborn VS Okayama
1.5 Goals Scored 1.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Paderborn

(Home)
17 Jul
Paderborn
3 : 1
Okayama
25 May
Paderborn
2 : 1
Wolfsburg
21 May
Wolfsburg
0 : 0
Paderborn
17 May
Darmstadt
0 : 2
Paderborn
08 May
Paderborn
2 : 2
Karlsruher
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Okayama

(Away)
25 Jul
Schalke
3 : 1
Okayama
22 Jul
Werder Bremen
2 : 0
Okayama
21 Jul
FC Kharkiv
1 : 2
Okayama
17 Jul
Paderborn
3 : 1
Okayama
14 Jul
Wehen
2 : 0
Okayama
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