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Paderborn vs Okayama

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Michel S.
45' Event
Michel S.
59' Event
Kamiya Yuta

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Paderborn and Okayama finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Paderborn.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Paderborn
15%
Draws
48%
Okayama
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Okayama

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Paderborn carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Paderborn a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Paderborn Clean Sheet 20%
Okayama Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paderborn Okayama
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 13
Draws 9 2
Losses 6 14
Goals Scored 1.79 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 17, 2026 Club Friendly
Paderborn vs Okayama
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Paderborn Compare

Top Goalscorer Michel S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Klaas S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Okayama Compare

Top Goalscorer Kamiya Yuta
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paderborn 36 / 100
Okayama 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paderborn Okayama

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Paderborn's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Okayama's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

Solid form: Paderborn remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Paderborn VS Okayama
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Paderborn

(Home)
20 Sept
Paderborn
3 : 1
Hoffenheim
12 Sept
Dortmund
3 : 0
Paderborn
05 Sept
Paderborn
0 : 1
Freiburg
29 Aug
Mainz
0 : 0
Paderborn
23 Aug
Phonix Lubeck
2 : 4
Paderborn
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Okayama

(Away)
19 Sept
Okayama
1 : 2
Kyoto
13 Sept
Urawa Reds
1 : 2
Okayama
06 Sept
Okayama
3 : 2
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
02 Sept
Chiba
1 : 2
Okayama
29 Aug
Nagoya Grampus
2 : 1
Okayama
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