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Padinska Skela vs Prva Iskra

Serbia Serbia

Srpska Liga - Belgrade
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Padinska Skela play Prva Iskra in the Srpska Liga - Belgrade. It looks like a close match. Recently, Padinska Skela averaged 1.37 goals scored and 1.33 conceded. Prva Iskra averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.77 conceded. In past meetings, Padinska Skela won 2, Prva Iskra won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 25, 2026 ended 0:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.38 for Padinska Skela and 1.19 for Prva Iskra. This points to a Padinska Skela double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Padinska Skela
24%
Draws
30%
Prva Iskra
Draw rate projection: 24% Favored: Padinska Skela

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Padinska Skela picked up more points recently compared to Prva Iskra.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.38 vs 1.19 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 59%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 81%
Over 2.5 Goals 59%
Over 3.5 Goals 35%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 42%
Padinska Skela Clean Sheet 20%
Prva Iskra Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 73%
Second Half Goal 77%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Padinska Skela Prva Iskra
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 9
Draws 7 7
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 1.37 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Srpska Liga - Belgrade
Prva Iskra vs Padinska Skela
0:3
Oct 11, 2025 Srpska Liga - Belgrade
Padinska Skela vs Prva Iskra
2:2
Mar 10, 2024 Srpska Liga - Belgrade
Padinska Skela vs Prva Iskra
1:0
Aug 19, 2023 Srpska Liga - Belgrade
Prva Iskra vs Padinska Skela
2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Padinska Skela 45 / 100
Prva Iskra 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Padinska Skela Prva Iskra

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Padinska Skela or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +21%
2.63
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.5%
1.89
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Padinska Skela attacking → ← attacking Prva Iskra

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Padinska Skela scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Prva Iskra let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Padinska Skela went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Prva Iskra lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

46 Points in last 5 34
1.38 Goals expected (xG) 1.50
0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Teleoptik26215077:2368
2Radnicki Obrenovac26174570:4055
3Torlak26145759:3047
4Brodarac26126843:2942
5Padinska Skela26107931:3237
6Jedinstvo Surcin261061025:3036
7Buducnost Dobanovci2699835:3236
8Nika Lepusnica2699843:2436
9Prva Iskra26961138:3933
10Polet Dorcol26951236:4032
11Zvezdara26951233:4532
12BASK26861227:3129
13Radnicki Beograd26471525:5318
14Kolubara2610259:1033