Sport Picks

Stadium Background

PAEEK vs Ermis

Cyprus Cyprus

Division 2 2023/2024 Kyrenia - Epistrofi, Strovolos
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Glynos S.
20' Event
da Silva Campolargo Morais M.
23' Event
Pasiardis C.

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 2023/2024 game between PAEEK and Ermis finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward PAEEK.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
PAEEK
30%
Draws
52%
Ermis
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ermis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • PAEEK carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 52% — that's where the model lands on Ermis taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and PAEEK have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
PAEEK Clean Sheet 20%
Ermis Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric PAEEK Ermis
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 14 6
Draws 10 2
Losses 8 21
Goals Scored 1.66 0.79
Goals Conceded 1.16 2.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 16, 2024 Division 2
PAEEK vs Ermis
5:0
Jan 27, 2024 Division 2
Ermis vs PAEEK
1:3
Nov 11, 2023 Division 2
PAEEK vs Ermis
3:1
Mar 10, 2023 Division 2
Ermis vs PAEEK
0:1
Jan 21, 2023 Division 2
PAEEK vs Ermis
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

PAEEK Compare

Top Goalscorer da Silva Campolargo Morais M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Glynos S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

Ermis Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

PAEEK 28 / 100
Ermis 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
PAEEK Ermis

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ermis Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ermis has conceded goals in 90% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

PAEEK's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Solid form: PAEEK remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

PAEEK VS Ermis
1.63 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

PAEEK

(Home)
12 Sept
PAEEK
2 : 4
Achnas
24 Apr
PAEEK
0 : 0
Karmiotissa
19 Apr
Ayia Napa
6 : 3
PAEEK
04 Apr
PAEEK
3 : 3
Omonia 29th May
21 Mar
Doxa
0 : 0
PAEEK
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Ermis

(Away)
11 Sept
Ermis
2 : 0
Akritas Chloraka
26 Apr
Ermis
2 : 1
PO Xylotymbou 2006
20 Apr
ENAD
1 : 2
Ermis
14 Apr
Ermis
1 : 2
M.E.A.P. Nisou
06 Apr
Akritas Chloraka
3 : 0
Ermis
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