Sport Picks

Europe

Europa League Alphamega Stadium, Limassol

Pafos

Thu, Jul 30, 2026

4 - 0

05:00 PM

Hajduk Split

Our Tip

Match Events

12'

Goldar D.

40'

Guga

45'

Sub

Jaja In: Dragomir V.

Out: Jaja

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 4-0. The second leg ended 4-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%

Pafos

15%

Draws

46%

Hajduk Split

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hajduk Split

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence

Look at the last few games and Hajduk Split come out ahead of Pafos on wins alone.
Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
Hajduk Split arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Pafos, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%

Pafos Clean Sheet 10%

Hajduk Split Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Pafos	Hajduk Split
Matches Played	30	32
Wins	13	21
Draws	9	5
Losses	8	6
Goals Scored	1.73	2.16
Goals Conceded	1.07	1
Expected Goals (xG)	1.38	2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 30, 2026 Europa League

Pafos vs Hajduk Split

4:0

Jul 23, 2026 Europa League

Hajduk Split vs Pafos

2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pafos Compare

Top Goalscorer Guga

1 Goals

Assists Leader Goldar D.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.06

Avg xA / game 0.69

Hajduk Split Compare

Avg xG / game 1.82

Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pafos 30 / 100

Hajduk Split 28 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Pafos Hajduk Split

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 4:4

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Pafos scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Pafos stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Hajduk Split let in goals in 53% of their last 32 matches.

Scoring Trends

Pafos VS Hajduk Split

1.63 Goals Scored 3

1 Goals Conceded 1.13

63% Over 1.5 100%

38% Over 2.5 88%

25% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Pafos

(Home)

18 Sept

Pafos

0 : 2

AEL Limassol

13 Sept

AEK Larnaca

0 : 1

Pafos

07 Sept

Pafos

0 : 0

Ol. Nicosia

03 Sept

Omonia

0 : 1

Pafos

30 Aug

Karmiotissa

0 : 3

Pafos

Page 1 of 6

Hajduk Split

(Away)

20 Sept

Rijeka

3 : 0

Hajduk Split

13 Sept

Hajduk Split

1 : 0

Slaven Belupo

08 Sept

Vardarac Vardaroc

0 : 2

Hajduk Split

06 Sept

Rudes

0 : 4

Hajduk Split

31 Aug

Hajduk Split

2 : 0

Lok. Zagreb

Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/8-finals

Trabzonspor -

TBD -

Twente -

TBD -

Vojvodina 1

Ferencvaros 5

TBD -

Gornik Zabrze -

KuPS -

TBD -

Univ. Craiova -

TBD -

Ararat-Armenia -

St. Truiden -

TBD -

Lincoln Red Imps -

TBD -

Omonia -

Crvena zvezda -

TBD -

Plzen -

Shamrock Rovers -

TBD -

KF Egnatia -

TBD -

Lillestrom -

Jagiellonia -

TBD -

Rangers -

Larne -

TBD -

Iberia 1999 -

Mjallby -

TBD -

Hajduk Split 3

Zilina 2

TBD -

Pafos -

TBD -

Salzburg -

Kairat Almaty -

TBD -

Dynamo Kyiv 1

Universitatea Cluj 0

TBD -

PAOK -

Hammarby -

TBD -

Anderlecht -

Lech Poznan -

TBD -

Klaksvik -

Thun -

TBD -

Vikingur Reykjavik -

Tromso -

TBD -

Hradec Kralove -

Besiktas -

TBD -

Midtjylland -

TBD -

FK Kauno Zalgiris -

St. Gallen -

TBD -

Benfica -

TBD -

Hearts -

TBD -

Aarhus -

OFI Crete -

TBD -

Sheriff Tiraspol 1

Aluminij 0

TBD -

Maccabi Tel Aviv -

Qarabag Agdam 6

Vestri 0

CSKA Sofia 5

Derry City 3

Quarter-finals

Trabzonspor -

TBD -

Twente 3

Ferencvaros 4

TBD -

Gornik Zabrze -

KuPS -

TBD -

Univ. Craiova -

TBD -

Ararat-Armenia -

St. Truiden -

TBD -

Lincoln Red Imps -

TBD -

Omonia -

Crvena zvezda -

TBD -

Plzen -

Shamrock Rovers -

TBD -

KF Egnatia -

TBD -

Lillestrom -

Jagiellonia -

TBD -

Rangers -

Larne -

TBD -

Iberia 1999 -

Mjallby -

TBD -

Hajduk Split 2

Pafos 4

TBD -

Salzburg -

Kairat Almaty -

TBD -

Dynamo Kyiv 2

PAOK 5

Hammarby 2

Anderlecht 4

Lech Poznan -

TBD -

Klaksvik -

Thun -

TBD -

Vikingur Reykjavik -

Tromso 1

Hradec Kralove 4

Besiktas 3

Midtjylland 0

TBD -

FK Kauno Zalgiris -

St. Gallen 2

Benfica 6

TBD -

Hearts -

TBD -

Aarhus -

OFI Crete -

TBD -

Sheriff Tiraspol 0

Maccabi Tel Aviv 6

Qarabag Agdam 0

CSKA Sofia 1

Semi-finals

Trabzonspor -

TBD -

Ferencvaros 2

Gornik Zabrze 1

KuPS 2

Univ. Craiova 3

TBD -

Ararat-Armenia -

St. Truiden -

TBD -

Lincoln Red Imps 1

Omonia 2

Crvena zvezda -

TBD -

Plzen -

Shamrock Rovers 4

KF Egnatia 6

TBD -

Lillestrom -

Jagiellonia 3

Rangers 2

Larne 1

Iberia 1999 2

Mjallby -

TBD -

Pafos 3

Salzburg 4

Kairat Almaty -

TBD -

PAOK 2

Anderlecht 4

Lech Poznan 6

Klaksvik 0

Thun 5

Vikingur Reykjavik 3

Hradec Kralove 0

Besiktas 2

TBD -

FK Kauno Zalgiris -

Benfica 7

Hearts 2

TBD -

Aarhus -

OFI Crete -

TBD -

Maccabi Tel Aviv 3

CSKA Sofia 4

Final

Trabzonspor 0

Ferencvaros 5

Univ. Craiova 1

Ararat-Armenia 2

St. Truiden 3

Omonia 4

Crvena zvezda 4

Plzen 5

KF Egnatia 1

Lillestrom 2

Jagiellonia 6

Iberia 1999 1

Mjallby 0

Salzburg 4

Kairat Almaty 0

Anderlecht 6

Lech Poznan 9

Thun 2

Besiktas 3

FK Kauno Zalgiris 1

Benfica 6

Aarhus 2

OFI Crete 5

CSKA Sofia 0

Pafos vs Hajduk Split

Europe

Pafos

Hajduk Split

Match Events

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

Key Player Impact Analysis

Pafos Compare

Hajduk Split Compare

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Pafos

Hajduk Split

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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