Sport Picks
Paganese vs SS Nola 1925
Italy
Serie D - Group H 2025/2026 Stadio Marcello Torre, Pagani 
Match Events
27'
27'
El Haddadi A.
37'
37'
de Nova I.
46'
46'
Paredes A.
AI Match Summary
Paganese in this Serie D - Group H 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 5-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Paganese.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
30%
19%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Paganese
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Paganese lately — more wins on the board than SS Nola 1925.
- Paganese are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 26%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Paganese Clean Sheet 20%
SS Nola 1925 Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Paganese | SS Nola 1925 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 15 | 9 |
| Draws | 6 | 7 |
| Losses | 8 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.28 | 1.17 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.03 | 1.47 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.46 | 1.03 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 26, 2026 Serie D - Group H
Paganese vs SS Nola 1925
5:0
Dec 14, 2025 Serie D - Group H
SS Nola 1925 vs Paganese
0:1
Mar 19, 2023 Serie D - Group G
Paganese vs SS Nola 1925
0:0
Nov 13, 2022 Serie D - Group G
SS Nola 1925 vs Paganese
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Paganese Compare
Top Goalscorer El Haddadi A.
1 Goals Assists Leader de Nova I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.12
Avg xA / game 0.73
SS Nola 1925 Compare
Avg xG / game 0.94
Avg xA / game 0.57
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Paganese 85 / 100
SS Nola 1925 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Paganese SS Nola 1925
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Paganese Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
SS Nola 1925 has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.
Recent resilience: Paganese stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.
Paganese scored in 69% of their last 29 games.
These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.
Scoring Trends
Paganese VS SS Nola 1925
1.5 Goals Scored 0.43
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.43
75% Over 1.5 43%
50% Over 2.5 29%
38% Over 3.5 14%
Recent Form & Match History
Paganese
(Home) 20 Sept
Trastevere Calcio
1 : 6 Paganese
16 Sept
Paganese
0 : 0 Afragolese
12 Sept
Latte Dolce
2 : 3 Paganese
06 Sept
Paganese
2 : 1 Unipomezia
17 May
Martina Calcio
0 : 1 Paganese
Page 1 of 6
16 Sept
Paganese
0 : 0 Afragolese
06 Sept
Paganese
2 : 1 Unipomezia
26 Apr
Paganese
5 : 0 SS Nola 1925
11 Apr
Paganese
1 : 1 Afragolese
22 Mar
Paganese
3 : 2 Martina Calcio
Page 1 of 3
SS Nola 1925
(Away) 10 May
SS Nola 1925
1 : 1 Heraclea
03 May
SS Nola 1925
2 : 1 Martina Calcio
26 Apr
Paganese
5 : 0 SS Nola 1925
19 Apr
SS Nola 1925
0 : 0 Ferrandina
12 Apr
Manfredonia
1 : 0 SS Nola 1925
Page 1 of 6
26 Apr
Paganese
5 : 0 SS Nola 1925
12 Apr
Manfredonia
1 : 0 SS Nola 1925
28 Mar
Sarnese
1 : 0 SS Nola 1925
15 Mar
Virtus Francavilla
2 : 1 SS Nola 1925
22 Feb
Acerrana
4 : 2 SS Nola 1925
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barletta | 34 | 20 | 10 | 4 | 54:20 | 70 |
| 2 | Martina Calcio | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 47:30 | 62 |
| 3 | Citta di Fasano | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 51:35 | 62 |
| 4 | Paganese | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 36:32 | 58 |
| 5 | A.C.D. Nardo | 34 | 14 | 13 | 7 | 40:27 | 55 |
| 6 | Gravina | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 50:40 | 55 |
| 7 | Afragolese | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 45:46 | 49 |
| 8 | Fidelis Andria | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 35:28 | 48 |
| 9 | Virtus Francavilla | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 45:40 | 48 |
| 10 | Real Normanna | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 27:26 | 43 |
| 11 | Francavilla | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 39:38 | 43 |
| 12 | Manfredonia | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 34:39 | 43 |
| 13 | Sarnese | 34 | 9 | 14 | 11 | 51:49 | 41 |
| 14 | SS Nola 1925 | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 42:50 | 41 |
| 15 | Heraclea | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 31:39 | 38 |
| 16 | Pompei | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 26:38 | 34 |
| 17 | Ferrandina | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 21:43 | 30 |
| 18 | Acerrana | 34 | 3 | 5 | 26 | 20:74 | 14 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group H 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group H 2025/2026 (Play Out)
