Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Pago Youth vs Lotohaapai

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

OFC Champions League 2013/2014
Sat, Oct 19, 2013
VS
11:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Pago Youth host Lotohaapai in the OFC Champions League 2013/2014. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Recent numbers: Pago Youth at 0.93 goals for, 5.14 against; Lotohaapai at 1.62 for, 4 against. Head-to-head, Pago Youth have won 0 to Lotohaapai's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Jan 27, 2019, ending 1:5. Model xG sits at 1.25 vs 3.56, favoring Lotohaapai. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Pago Youth
20%
Draws
60%
Lotohaapai
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Lotohaapai

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Lotohaapai lately — more wins on the board than Pago Youth.
  • 60% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this OFC Champions League 2013/2014 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Lotohaapai have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Pago Youth Clean Sheet 10%
Lotohaapai Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pago Youth Lotohaapai
Matches Played 14 21
Wins 0 5
Draws 3 2
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 0.93 1.62
Goals Conceded 5.14 4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 3.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 27, 2019 OFC Champions League
Pago Youth vs Lotohaapai
1:5
Oct 19, 2013 OFC Champions League
Pago Youth vs Lotohaapai
0:0
May 3, 2012 OFC Champions League
Lotohaapai vs Pago Youth
6:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pago Youth 34 / 100
Lotohaapai 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pago Youth Lotohaapai

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lotohaapai Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lotohaapai has conceded goals in 95% of their last 21 outings.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Pago Youth scored in 71% of their last 14 outings.

Lotohaapai's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Pago Youth VS Lotohaapai
1 Goals Scored 1.63
5.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Pago Youth

(Home)
06 Feb
Pago Youth
0 : 3
Tupapa
02 Feb
Pago Youth
2 : 2
Nukuhetulu
30 Jan
Vaivase-Tai
1 : 1
Pago Youth
02 Feb
Tupapa
2 : 1
Pago Youth
30 Jan
Kiwi
4 : 3
Pago Youth
Page 1 of 3

Lotohaapai

(Away)
02 Feb
Lotohaapai
1 : 9
Kiwi
30 Jan
Tupapa
4 : 1
Lotohaapai
27 Jan
Pago Youth
1 : 5
Lotohaapai
11 Oct
Puaikura
1 : 0
Lotohaapai
09 Oct
FC SKBC
1 : 4
Lotohaapai
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kiwi 3 3 0 0 12:3 9
2 Tupapa 3 2 0 1 14:4 6
3 Lotohaapai 2 0 0 2 2:7 0
4 Pago Youth 2 0 0 2 2:16 0
Promotion - OFC Champions League 2013/2014 (Main)