Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Pago Youth vs Tupapa

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

OFC Champions League 2013/2014
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The OFC Champions League 2013/2014 game between Pago Youth and Tupapa finished 1-11, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tupapa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Pago Youth
30%
Draws
47%
Tupapa
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Tupapa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Tupapa carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Tupapa have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 54%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Pago Youth Clean Sheet 10%
Tupapa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pago Youth Tupapa
Matches Played 14 30
Wins 0 13
Draws 3 4
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 0.93 2.77
Goals Conceded 5.14 3.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 6, 2026 OFC Champions League
Pago Youth vs Tupapa
0:3
Feb 2, 2019 OFC Champions League
Tupapa vs Pago Youth
2:1
Jan 27, 2018 OFC Champions League
Pago Youth vs Tupapa
0:5
Oct 18, 2013 OFC Champions League
Pago Youth vs Tupapa
1:11
May 5, 2012 OFC Champions League
Tupapa vs Pago Youth
9:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pago Youth 30 / 100
Tupapa 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pago Youth Tupapa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tupapa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 6.40 goals per match.

Pago Youth scored in 71% of their last 14 games.

Defensive concern: Tupapa conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Tupapa's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Pago Youth VS Tupapa
1 Goals Scored 3.75
2 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 75%
67% Over 2.5 75%
33% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Pago Youth

(Home)
06 Feb
Pago Youth
0 : 3
Tupapa
02 Feb
Pago Youth
2 : 2
Nukuhetulu
30 Jan
Vaivase-Tai
1 : 1
Pago Youth
02 Feb
Tupapa
2 : 1
Pago Youth
30 Jan
Kiwi
4 : 3
Pago Youth
Page 1 of 3

Tupapa

(Away)
15 Aug
Tupapa
1 : 7
ABM Galaxy
12 Aug
Rewa
4 : 2
Tupapa
09 Aug
Lae City
4 : 1
Tupapa
06 Feb
Pago Youth
0 : 3
Tupapa
03 Feb
Tupapa
1 : 1
Vaivase-Tai
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kiwi 3 3 0 0 12:3 9
2 Tupapa 3 2 0 1 14:4 6
3 Lotohaapai 2 0 0 2 2:7 0
4 Pago Youth 2 0 0 2 2:16 0
Promotion - OFC Champions League 2013/2014 (Main)