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Paide Linnameeskond U21 vs Tulevik

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga B 2025 Paide linnastaadion
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AI Match Summary

Paide Linnameeskond U21 play Tulevik in the Esiliiga B 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Paide Linnameeskond U21 averaged 1.8 goals scored and 1.67 conceded. Tulevik averaged 2.6 goals scored and 2.27 conceded. In past meetings, Paide Linnameeskond U21 won 4, Tulevik won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Nov 22, 2025 ended 3:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.67 for Paide Linnameeskond U21 and 2.00 for Tulevik. This points to a Tulevik double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Paide Linnameeskond U21
15%
Draws
45%
Tulevik
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tulevik

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Paide Linnameeskond U21 picked up more points recently compared to Tulevik.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.67 vs 2.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 75%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 89%
Over 2.5 Goals 75%
Over 3.5 Goals 45%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Paide Linnameeskond U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Tulevik Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 80%
Second Half Goal 85%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paide Linnameeskond U21 Tulevik
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 16
Draws 8 2
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1.8 2.6
Goals Conceded 1.67 2.27
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 22, 2025 Esiliiga B
Paide Linnameeskond U21 vs Tulevik
3:2
Nov 15, 2025 Esiliiga B
Tulevik vs Paide Linnameeskond U21
5:1
Oct 1, 2022 Esiliiga
Tulevik vs Paide Linnameeskond U21
2:4
Sep 1, 2022 Esiliiga
Paide Linnameeskond U21 vs Tulevik
3:2
Jun 4, 2022 Esiliiga
Paide Linnameeskond U21 vs Tulevik
7:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Paide Linnameeskond U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Lehtmaa H.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Tumasevski E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Tulevik Compare

Top Goalscorer Saag K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Metsmaa J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.73
Avg xA / game 1.67

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paide Linnameeskond U21 38 / 100
Tulevik 43 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paide Linnameeskond U21 Tulevik

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Tulevik or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +25.2%
3.13
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.7%
1.45
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Paide Linnameeskond U21 attacking → ← attacking Tulevik

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Paide Linnameeskond U21 scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Tulevik let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 6.00 goals.

Paide Linnameeskond U21 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Tulevik lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

35 Points in last 5 50
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 3.00
1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.13