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Paide Linnameeskond vs Levadia

Estonia Estonia

Meistriliiga Paide linnastaadion, Paide
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Tambedou B.
Assist: Wendell
17' Event
Roosnupp M.
Assist: Peetson R.
24' Event
Wendell
Assist: Ainsalu M.

AI Match Summary

Levadia in this Meistriliiga matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Levadia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Paide Linnameeskond
6%
Draws
90%
Levadia
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Levadia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Levadia have won more games recently than Paide Linnameeskond.
  • Win probability leans Levadia's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Meistriliiga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Paide Linnameeskond Clean Sheet 11%
Levadia Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paide Linnameeskond Levadia
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 14 19
Draws 6 6
Losses 8 3
Goals Scored 1.75 2.38
Goals Conceded 1.25 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Meistriliiga
Paide Linnameeskond vs Levadia
1:3
Mar 22, 2026 Meistriliiga
Levadia vs Paide Linnameeskond
2:2
Oct 22, 2025 Meistriliiga
Levadia vs Paide Linnameeskond
1:2
Jul 4, 2025 Meistriliiga
Paide Linnameeskond vs Levadia
0:3
May 11, 2025 Meistriliiga
Levadia vs Paide Linnameeskond
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Paide Linnameeskond Compare

Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Levadia Compare

Top Goalscorer Tambedou B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Roosnupp M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paide Linnameeskond 10 / 100
Levadia 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paide Linnameeskond Levadia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LEV Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Paide Linnameeskond scored in 93% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Levadia conceded in 71% of 28 recent games.

Paide Linnameeskond has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Paide Linnameeskond VS Levadia
1.75 Goals Scored 2.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Paide Linnameeskond

(Home)
23 Jul
Paide Linnameeskond
1 : 0
Zira FK
19 Jul
Harju JK Laagri
5 : 2
Paide Linnameeskond
16 Jul
Paide Linnameeskond
3 : 0
FC Hegelmann
09 Jul
FC Hegelmann
1 : 1
Paide Linnameeskond
04 Jul
Paide Linnameeskond
3 : 1
Parnu JK Vaprus
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Levadia

(Away)
21 Jul
IFK Goteborg
1 : 2
Levadia
16 Jul
Levadia
5 : 0
Caernarfon
09 Jul
Caernarfon
0 : 5
Levadia
04 Jul
Narva
1 : 3
Levadia
28 Jun
Levadia
1 : 2
Flora
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Levadia19144149:1646
2Flora19120739:2136
3Kalju20105533:1635
4Paide Linnameeskond2095632:2832
5Parnu JK Vaprus20821028:3826
6Tammeka Tartu1882821:2626
7Nomme Utd20811139:4625
8Harju JK Laagri20811130:3425
9Kuressaare20531219:3318
10Narva20411515:4713
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga 2027 (Main)