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Paiosaco vs Arosa SC

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Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Pereira J.
61' Event
Rubo Blanco
(Penalty)
81' Event
Martinez I.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2023/2024 game between Paiosaco and Arosa SC finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Arosa SC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Paiosaco
30%
Draws
31%
Arosa SC
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Paiosaco

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Paiosaco haven't matched Arosa SC's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Paiosaco's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Arosa SC have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Paiosaco Clean Sheet 16%
Arosa SC Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paiosaco Arosa SC
Matches Played 30 39
Wins 9 24
Draws 9 11
Losses 12 4
Goals Scored 0.93 1.62
Goals Conceded 1.33 0.92
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.49
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 31, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Paiosaco vs Arosa SC
0:3
Nov 12, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Arosa SC vs Paiosaco
1:0
Jan 22, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Paiosaco vs Arosa SC
0:1
Sep 17, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Arosa SC vs Paiosaco
1:0
Mar 8, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Arosa SC vs Paiosaco
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Paiosaco Compare

Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

Arosa SC Compare

Top Goalscorer Pereira J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Martinez I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paiosaco 41 / 100
Arosa SC 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paiosaco Arosa SC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Paiosaco has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: Paiosaco scored in 53% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Arosa SC conceded in 56% of 39 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Arosa SC
0 Goals Scored 1.88
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Paiosaco

(Home)
12 May
Paiosaco
1 : 0
Lugo B
05 May
UD Ourense
3 : 0
Paiosaco
01 May
Barbadas-Bentraces
0 : 0
Paiosaco
27 Apr
Paiosaco
1 : 0
Pontevedra B
21 Apr
Arzua
1 : 2
Paiosaco
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Arosa SC

(Away)
19 Sept
Basconia
2 : 2
Arosa SC
13 Sept
Arosa SC
0 : 4
Gernika Club
06 Sept
Amorebieta
2 : 2
Arosa SC
01 Aug
Arosa SC
3 : 1
Pontevedra
10 May
Arosa SC
3 : 2
Celtiga
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bergantinos 34 21 10 3 49:19 73
2 Gran Pena 34 15 16 3 48:30 61
3 Arosa SC 34 15 13 6 39:23 58
4 UD Ourense 34 15 10 9 47:34 55
5 Sarriana 34 14 8 12 43:35 50
6 Atletico Arteixo 34 11 14 9 46:39 47
7 Somozas 34 12 9 13 43:39 45
8 Estradense 34 11 12 11 31:32 45
9 Barbadas-Bentraces 34 10 14 10 33:34 44
10 Viveiro 34 12 8 14 39:42 44
11 Alondras 34 10 14 10 37:36 44
12 Silva SD 34 11 10 13 35:35 43
13 Lugo B 34 11 10 13 32:34 43
14 Betanzos CF 34 10 13 11 35:31 43
15 Rapido de Bouzas 34 11 9 14 38:40 42
16 Paiosaco 34 10 11 13 30:42 41
17 Pontevedra B 34 7 5 22 27:65 26
18 Arzua 34 4 6 24 24:66 18
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2023/2024 (Play Offs)