Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Pakhtakor vs Andijan

Uzbekistan Uzbekistan

Super League Pakhtakor Central Stadium, Tashkent
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Tahseen Z.
29' Event
Sobirkhuzhaev S.
Assist: Resan B.
46'
Sub
Komilov S. In: Iminov K.
Out: Komilov S.

AI Match Summary

The Super League game between Pakhtakor and Andijan finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pakhtakor.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Pakhtakor
20%
Draws
48%
Andijan
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Andijan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Pakhtakor carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Pakhtakor a 32% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Pakhtakor Clean Sheet 20%
Andijan Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pakhtakor Andijan
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 11
Draws 9 7
Losses 6 11
Goals Scored 1.55 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 4, 2026 Super League
Pakhtakor vs Andijan
3:0
Aug 1, 2026 Super League
Andijan vs Pakhtakor
0:0
Aug 22, 2025 Super League
Andijan vs Pakhtakor
2:6
Apr 13, 2025 Super League
Pakhtakor vs Andijan
2:3
Oct 31, 2024 Super League
Pakhtakor vs Andijan
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pakhtakor Compare

Top Goalscorer Tahseen Z.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sobirkhuzhaev S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Andijan Compare

Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pakhtakor 76 / 100
Andijan 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pakhtakor Andijan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pakhtakor Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Pakhtakor's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Andijan has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Recent resilience: Pakhtakor stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pakhtakor VS Andijan
1.13 Goals Scored 0.75
0.63 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Pakhtakor

(Home)
14 Sept
Al Ahli SC
1 : 1
Pakhtakor
09 Sept
OKMK
1 : 3
Pakhtakor
04 Sept
Pakhtakor
3 : 0
Andijan
29 Aug
Neftchi Fargona
1 : 0
Pakhtakor
25 Aug
Din. Samarkand
1 : 1
Pakhtakor
Page 1 of 6

Andijan

(Away)
15 Sept
Andijan
3 : 2
Olimpik-Mobiuz
10 Sept
Andijan
2 : 1
Kokand 1912
04 Sept
Pakhtakor
3 : 0
Andijan
25 Aug
Andijan
1 : 0
Xorazm Urganch
19 Aug
Mashal Muborak
0 : 1
Andijan
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Neftchi Fargona 21 15 3 3 49:17 48
2 Pakhtakor 21 13 7 1 37:19 46
3 Navbahor Namangan 22 13 5 4 39:21 44
4 Lok. Tashkent 21 10 5 6 36:27 35
5 Buxoro 21 10 4 7 31:27 34
6 OKMK 21 9 5 7 29:28 32
7 Nasaf Qarshi 21 8 7 6 29:20 31
8 Andijan 21 9 3 9 26:24 30
9 Din. Samarkand 22 8 6 8 33:34 30
10 Sogdiana 21 8 4 9 37:41 28
11 Qizilqum 21 8 2 11 20:29 26
12 Termez Surkhon 21 6 5 10 18:28 23
13 Xorazm Urganch 21 5 6 10 17:29 21
14 Kokand 1912 21 4 8 9 19:29 20
15 Bunyodkor 21 6 1 14 20:35 19
16 Mashal Muborak 21 1 1 19 10:42 4
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Pro Liga (Promotion)
Relegation - Pro Liga 2027 (Main)