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Paks vs Panathinaikos

Europe Europe

Conference League Fehérvári úti stadion
Thu, Jul 23, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Paks host Panathinaikos in the Conference League. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Panathinaikos have shipped 1.14 goals a game lately, while Paks have conceded 1.75 and scored 3.5. Head-to-head, Paks have won 1 to Panathinaikos's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on May 12, 2025, ending 2-2. xG projections (2.32 - 1.81) back Panathinaikos to edge this. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Paks
44%
Draws
20%
Panathinaikos
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Paks average 3.5 goals a game right now, well clear of Panathinaikos's 1.86.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Conference League fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 96%
Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 66%
Over 4.5 Goals 30%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Paks Clean Sheet 11%
Panathinaikos Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paks Panathinaikos
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 12 12
Draws 5 9
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 3.5 1.86
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 3.50 1.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.14

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2025 Conference League
Paks vs Panathinaikos
2-2
Apr 12, 2025 Conference League
Panathinaikos vs Paks
0-0
Mar 12, 2025 Conference League
Paks vs Panathinaikos
0-1
Feb 12, 2025 Conference League
Panathinaikos vs Paks
1-0
Jan 12, 2025 Conference League
Paks vs Panathinaikos
2-1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paks 35 / 100
Panathinaikos 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paks Panathinaikos

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PAN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Paks found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Panathinaikos's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Paks remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Paks VS Panathinaikos
3.5 Goals Scored 1.86
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.14
100% Over 1.5 71%
100% Over 2.5 71%
75% Over 3.5 57%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Rijeka-
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Derry City-
Lugano-
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Dukagjini-
FCSB-
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FK Auda Riga-
Rakow Czestochowa-
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Valletta-
Debrecen-
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Marsaxlokk0
Pyunik Yerevan4
IFK Goteborg-
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Caernarfon0
Levadia10
Varazdin-
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Jablonec-
Bravo-
TBD-
Europa FC0
Shkendija Tetovo6
Shelbourne-
TBD-
Kalju3
Linfield2
Zimbru Chisinau-
TBD-
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Noah-
Aluminij-
TBD-
Dinamo Tirana4
FC Astana2
AF Elbasani1
BATE2
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Sion-
Motherwell-
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HB Torshavn-
Vllaznia2
Malisheva6
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Hibernian-
Paks-
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TBD-
Panathinaikos-
Vojvodina-
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Ajax-
LNZ Cherkasy-
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Gent-
Hapoel Tel Aviv-
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Ludogorets-
Bohemians2
St Josephs0
Connahs Q.2
FC Ballkani3
Vaduz-
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Mornar Bar2
Atletic Escaldes4
NSI Runavik3
Hamrun2
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Koper-
Partizan-
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UNA Strassen3
La Fiorita0
Basaksehir-
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FK Sarajevo2
Inter Turku3
HJK-
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Coleraine-
Glentoran1
RFS4
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Vestri-
Decic1
FK Liepaja3
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Austria Vienna-
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Nordsjaelland-
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Dila Gori3
Virtus2
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Apollon Limassol-
Universitatea Cluj-
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Brann-
Valur-
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Zrinjski-
Mondorf2
Dinamo Tbilisi3
Petrovac2
Zalgiris5
Dun. Streda-
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Velez Mostar2
Milsami1
Vikingur3
Stjarnan5
Differdange1
Ilves3
FK Panevezys-
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Din. Minsk2
Sileks1
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FC Copenhagen-
Penybont0
FC Santa Coloma4
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Alashkert4
Yelimay Semey3
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FC Hegelmann1
Paide Linnameeskond4
Zira FK6
Torpedo Kutaisi0
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Quarter-finals
Rijeka-
Derry City-
Lugano-
Dukagjini-
FCSB-
FK Auda Riga-
Rakow Czestochowa-
Valletta-
Debrecen-
Pyunik Yerevan-
IFK Goteborg-
Levadia-
Varazdin-
Jablonec-
Bravo-
Shkendija Tetovo-
Shelbourne-
Kalju-
Zimbru Chisinau-
Noah-
Aluminij-
Dinamo Tirana-
BATE-
Sion-
Motherwell-
HB Torshavn-
Malisheva-
Hibernian-
Paks-
Panathinaikos-
Vojvodina-
Ajax-
LNZ Cherkasy-
Gent-
Hapoel Tel Aviv-
Ludogorets-
Bohemians-
FC Ballkani-
Vaduz-
Atletic Escaldes-
NSI Runavik-
Koper-
Partizan-
UNA Strassen-
Basaksehir-
Inter Turku-
HJK-
Coleraine-
RFS-
Vestri-
FK Liepaja-
Austria Vienna-
GAIS-
Nordsjaelland-
Zilina-
GKS Katowice-
Dila Gori-
Apollon Limassol-
Universitatea Cluj-
Brann-
Valur-
Zrinjski-
Dinamo Tbilisi-
Zalgiris-
Dun. Streda-
Velez Mostar-
Stjarnan-
Ilves-
FK Panevezys-
Tobol-
Neftci Baku-
Din. Minsk-
Zeleznicar Pancevo-
Braga-
Polissya Zhytomyr-
FC Copenhagen-
FC Santa Coloma-
Rapid Vienna-
Alashkert-
CFR Cluj-
Paide Linnameeskond-
Zira FK-
Spartak Trnava-
CSKA 1948 Sofia-
AEK Larnaca-
Beitar Jerusalem-
Borac Banja Luka-
Petrocub Hincesti-
Bissen-
Gyor-
ML Vitebsk-
Sutjeska-
Flora-
TNS-
Floriana-
Drita-
Vardar-
Riga FC-
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