Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Palermo vs Sudtirol

Italy Italy

Serie B 2025/2026 Stadio Renzo Barbera, Palermo
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Pohjanpalo J.
(Penalty)
38' Event
Le Douaron J.
52' Event
Ceccaroni P.
Assist: Ranocchia F.

AI Match Summary

The Serie B 2025/2026 game between Palermo and Sudtirol finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Palermo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Palermo
6%
Draws
4%
Sudtirol
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Palermo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Palermo carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Palermo are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Serie B 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Palermo have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Palermo Clean Sheet 68%
Sudtirol Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Palermo Sudtirol
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 16 8
Draws 8 14
Losses 5 9
Goals Scored 2 0.38
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2026 Serie B
Palermo vs Sudtirol
3:0
Sep 14, 2025 Serie B
Sudtirol vs Palermo
0:2
May 1, 2025 Serie B
Palermo vs Sudtirol
1:2
Sep 30, 2024 Serie B
Sudtirol vs Palermo
1:3
May 10, 2024 Serie B
Sudtirol vs Palermo
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Palermo Compare

Top Goalscorer Le Douaron J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ceccaroni P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Sudtirol Compare

Avg xG / game 0.35
Avg xA / game 0.21

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Palermo 95 / 100
Sudtirol 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Palermo Sudtirol

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PAL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Palermo's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Palermo stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Sudtirol let in goals in 58% of their last 31 matches.

Scoring Trends

Palermo VS Sudtirol
2 Goals Scored 0.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Palermo

(Home)
25 Jul
Palermo
2 : 2
Nurnberg
22 Jul
Palermo
7 : 0
Paradiso
18 Jul
Ingolstadt
1 : 0
Palermo
15 Jul
Palermo
8 : 0
FC Gherdeina
20 May
Palermo
2 : 0
Catanzaro
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Sudtirol

(Away)
28 Jul
Sudtirol
7 : 0
ASC St. Georgen
25 Jul
Sudtirol
0 : 0
Kaiserslautern
22 May
Sudtirol
0 : 0
Bari
15 May
Bari
0 : 0
Sudtirol
08 May
Sudtirol
1 : 1
Juve Stabia
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Venezia382410477:3182
2Frosinone382312376:3481
3Monza382210661:3276
4Palermo382012661:3372
5Catanzaro381514962:5159
6Modena3815101349:3655
7Juve Stabia381118944:4551
8Avellino3813101543:5549
9Mantova381371845:5746
10Padova3812101639:4946
11Cesena3812101645:5646
12Carrarese3810141447:5244
13Sampdoria3811111635:4844
14Entella3810121636:5142
15Empoli389141547:5441
16Sudtirol388171338:4841
17Bari3810101838:6040
18Reggiana389101936:5637
19Spezia388111943:5935
20Pescara387141751:6635
Promotion - Serie A (Main)
Promotion - Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Out)