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Palmeiras U20 vs Capivariano U20

Brazil Brazil

Paulista U20
Our Tip

Match Events

44' Event
Luiz Felipe
46' Event
Pablo Victor
51' Event
Joao Paulo Mendonca

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Paulista U20 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Palmeiras U20
33%
Draws
27%
Capivariano U20
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Palmeiras U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Palmeiras U20 lately — more wins on the board than Capivariano U20.
  • Model gives Palmeiras U20 a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Paulista U20 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 91.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Palmeiras U20 Clean Sheet 68%
Capivariano U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Palmeiras U20 Capivariano U20
Matches Played 51 29
Wins 39 9
Draws 8 12
Losses 4 8
Goals Scored 3.38 1.5
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 3.38 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.33

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2026 Paulista U20
Palmeiras U20 vs Capivariano U20
2:2
Jan 9, 2019 Copinha
Capivariano U20 vs Palmeiras U20
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Palmeiras U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Joao Paulo Mendonca
1 Goals
Assists Leader Luis Saboia
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.6
Avg xA / game 1.69

Capivariano U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Luiz Felipe
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pablo Victor
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Palmeiras U20 50 / 100
Capivariano U20 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Palmeiras U20 Capivariano U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PAL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Palmeiras U20's goal record stands at 98% scoring rate across 51 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Solid form: Palmeiras U20 remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Capivariano U20 let in goals in 59% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Palmeiras U20 VS Capivariano U20
3.38 Goals Scored 1.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.33
100% Over 1.5 83%
75% Over 2.5 67%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Palmeiras U20

(Home)
11 Jul
Palmeiras U20
2 : 2
Capivariano U20
08 Jul
Corinthians U20
0 : 1
Palmeiras U20
05 Jul
Porto Football U20
0 : 1
Palmeiras U20
01 Jul
Palmeiras U20
1 : 3
Cuiaba U20
27 Jun
Palmeiras U20
4 : 0
Guarani U20
Page 1 of 11

Capivariano U20

(Away)
11 Jul
Palmeiras U20
2 : 2
Capivariano U20
03 Jul
Capivariano U20
2 : 2
Ituano U20
28 Jun
Bragantino U20
3 : 1
Capivariano U20
12 Jun
XV de Jau U20
0 : 0
Capivariano U20
05 Jun
Capivariano U20
2 : 1
Sfera U20
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Corinthians U20651013:116
2Santos U20642012:114
3CA Juventus U20641116:613
4Ferroviaria U20641111:313
5Portuguesa U2063129:610
6Portuguesa Santista U2062229:118
7Sertaozinho U2062224:68
8Jabaquara U2062133:47
9Ponte Preta U2062136:137
10Itapirense U2062049:136
11Sao Bento U2061237:95
12Uniao Suzano U2061144:154
13America SP U2061053:133
14Mirassol U2060336:113
Promotion - Paulista U20 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ibrachina U20660019:418
2Desportivo U2075028:415
3Sao Paulo U20642010:114
4Osasco Sporting U2064029:712
5Piracicaba U2072418:610
6Paulinense U2072327:89
7Aguai U2072237:148
8Santo Andre U2062138:87
9Sao Caetano U2072149:127
10Novorizontino U2061327:66
11Uniao Sao Joao U2071335:76
12EC Sao Bernardo U2061235:115
13Bandeirante U2071244:105
14Velo Clube U2070524:95
15Botafogo SP U2060427:104
Promotion - Paulista U20 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Bragantino U20660022:618
2Guarani U20650113:615
3Palmeiras U20642012:314
4Agua Santa U20742114:714
5Sfera U20740317:612
6Gremio Prudente U2063129:810
7Capivariano U2072419:810
8Osasco Audax U2072237:98
9Flamengo SP U2072146:137
10XV de Jau U2062135:137
11Ituano U2061417:97
12Maua FC U2071335:126
13Tanabi U2071247:145
14Referencia U2060154:131
15Porto Football U2070161:111
Promotion - Paulista U20 (Play Offs)