Sport Picks

Germany

Oberliga Hamburg 2025/2026

Turkiye Wilhelmsburg

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Paloma play Turkiye Wilhelmsburg in the Oberliga Hamburg 2025/2026. Paloma are favorites here. Recently, Paloma averaged 2.43 goals scored and 1.33 conceded. Turkiye Wilhelmsburg averaged 1.83 goals scored and 3.1 conceded. In past meetings, Paloma won 2, Turkiye Wilhelmsburg won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on May 15, 2026 ended 0:6. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.69 for Paloma and 1.75 for Turkiye Wilhelmsburg. This points to a Paloma double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

56%

Paloma

23%

Draws

21%

Turkiye Wilhelmsburg

Draw rate projection: 23% Favored: Paloma

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

86% / Very High Confidence

Paloma picked up more points recently compared to Turkiye Wilhelmsburg.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.69 vs 1.75 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%

Over 1.5 Goals 94%

Over 2.5 Goals 82%

Over 3.5 Goals 49%

Over 4.5 Goals 25%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%

Paloma Clean Sheet 12%

Turkiye Wilhelmsburg Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 85%

Second Half Goal 89%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Paloma	Turkiye Wilhelmsburg
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	16	7
Draws	5	6
Losses	9	17
Goals Scored	2.43	1.83
Goals Conceded	1.33	3.1
Expected Goals (xG)	2.25	1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.75	3.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 15, 2026 Oberliga Hamburg

Turkiye Wilhelmsburg vs Paloma

Possession: 50% - 41% Cards: 3 - 4

0:6

Dec 4, 2025 Oberliga Hamburg

Paloma vs Turkiye Wilhelmsburg

Possession: 41% - 46% Cards: 2 - 1

1:1

Mar 23, 2025 Oberliga Hamburg

Paloma vs Turkiye Wilhelmsburg

Possession: 41% - 49% Cards: 1 - 1

4:2

Oct 5, 2024 Oberliga Hamburg

Turkiye Wilhelmsburg vs Paloma

Possession: 59% - 52% Cards: 2 - 4

0:0

Apr 20, 2024 Oberliga Hamburg

Turkiye Wilhelmsburg vs Paloma

Possession: 59% - 52% Cards: 1 - 2

6:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paloma 53 / 100

Turkiye Wilhelmsburg 21 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Paloma Turkiye Wilhelmsburg

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Paloma Win (1)

Secondary Pick Paloma & Over 2.5

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +16.5%

2.08

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +8.2%

1.32

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Paloma attacking → ← attacking Turkiye Wilhelmsburg

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Paloma scored in 90% of their last 30 games.

Turkiye Wilhelmsburg let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.20 goals.

Paloma went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Turkiye Wilhelmsburg lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

53 Points in last 5 27

2.25 Goals expected (xG) 1.75

1.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 3.13