Sport Picks

Tanzania

Ligi Kuu Bara CCM Kirumba Stadium

Coastal Union

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Pamba play Coastal Union in the Ligi Kuu Bara. It looks like a close match. Recently, Pamba averaged 1.03 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. Coastal Union averaged 1.07 goals scored and 1.23 conceded. In past meetings, Pamba won 2, Coastal Union won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jun 30, 2026 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.19 for Pamba and 1.38 for Coastal Union. This points to a Coastal Union double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%

Pamba

20%

Draws

42%

Coastal Union

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Coastal Union

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

Pamba picked up more points recently compared to Coastal Union.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.19 vs 1.38 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 75%

Over 2.5 Goals 43%

Over 3.5 Goals 26%

Over 4.5 Goals 13%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 40%

Pamba Clean Sheet 17%

Coastal Union Clean Sheet 12%

First Half Goal 68%

Second Half Goal 71%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Pamba	Coastal Union
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	9	10
Draws	8	9
Losses	13	11
Goals Scored	1.03	1.07
Goals Conceded	1.2	1.23
Expected Goals (xG)	1.13	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.38	1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 30, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara

Coastal Union vs Pamba

Possession: 53% - 57% Cards: 3 - 2

2:1

Apr 11, 2026 Federation Cup

Coastal Union vs Pamba

Possession: 41% - 51% Cards: 2 - 1

2:0

Feb 6, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara

Pamba vs Coastal Union

Possession: 50% - 40% Cards: 2 - 3

3:0

Feb 15, 2025 Ligi Kuu Bara

Pamba vs Coastal Union

Possession: 49% - 58% Cards: 4 - 3

2:0

Sep 28, 2024 Ligi Kuu Bara

Coastal Union vs Pamba

Possession: 44% - 55% Cards: 1 - 3

2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pamba Compare

Top Goalscorer Nahimana S.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Tegisi M.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.87

Avg xA / game 0.56

Coastal Union Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pamba 38 / 100

Coastal Union 40 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Pamba Coastal Union

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Coastal Union or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +26.5%

3.33

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +16.1%

2.70

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Pamba attacking → ← attacking Coastal Union

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pamba scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Coastal Union let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Pamba went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Coastal Union lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

35 Points in last 5 39

1.13 Goals expected (xG) 1.38

1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Young Africans	30	23	6	1	71:9	75
2	Simba	30	22	7	1	54:11	73
3	Azam	30	18	10	2	46:12	64
4	Singida Black Stars	30	15	5	10	47:35	50
5	TRA United	30	11	10	9	33:28	43
6	JKT Tanzania	30	10	12	8	30:33	42
7	Pamba	30	9	9	12	32:35	36
8	Coastal Union	30	9	9	12	31:37	36
9	Dodoma Jiji	30	8	11	11	25:36	35
10	Namungo	30	7	13	10	25:32	34
11	Mashujaa	30	7	12	11	15:27	33
12	Fountain Gate	30	9	6	15	25:44	33
13	Tanzania Prisons	30	9	5	16	23:41	32
14	Mbeya City	30	7	9	14	24:41	30
15	Mtibwa Sugar	30	6	9	15	25:48	27
16	Kinondoni MC	30	2	3	25	16:53	9