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Stadium Background

Pamplemousses vs Chebel Citizens

Mauritius Mauritius

Super League
Pamplemousses Logo

Pamplemousses

2 - 2
FT
Chebel Citizens Logo

Chebel Citizens

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Super League game between Pamplemousses and Chebel Citizens finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Pamplemousses
30%
Draws
37%
Chebel Citizens
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Chebel Citizens

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Chebel Citizens carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Pamplemousses Clean Sheet 20%
Chebel Citizens Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pamplemousses Chebel Citizens
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 17
Draws 6 5
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 1.7 1.6
Goals Conceded 1.07 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 29, 2026 Super League
Pamplemousses vs Chebel Citizens
2:2
Jan 25, 2026 Super League
Chebel Citizens vs Pamplemousses
1:0
May 6, 2025 Super League
Pamplemousses vs Chebel Citizens
3:4
Jan 19, 2025 Super League
Chebel Citizens vs Pamplemousses
0:1
May 18, 2024 Super League
Pamplemousses vs Chebel Citizens
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pamplemousses 32 / 100
Chebel Citizens 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pamplemousses Chebel Citizens

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pamplemousses found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Chebel Citizens conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Pamplemousses went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pamplemousses VS Chebel Citizens
1.25 Goals Scored 1.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.5
38% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Pamplemousses

(Home)
29 Apr
Pamplemousses
2 : 2
Chebel Citizens
23 Apr
Beau Bassin (USBBRH)
0 : 2
Pamplemousses
18 Apr
Pamplemousses
2 : 0
Port Louis
15 Apr
La Cure Waves
1 : 0
Pamplemousses
15 Mar
Pamplemousses
3 : 2
Cercle De Joachim
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Chebel Citizens

(Away)
29 Apr
Pamplemousses
2 : 2
Chebel Citizens
26 Apr
La Cure Waves
1 : 3
Chebel Citizens
19 Apr
Chebel Citizens
1 : 0
Petite Riviere
14 Apr
AS Vacoas
0 : 3
Chebel Citizens
15 Mar
Chebel Citizens
0 : 0
PAS Mates
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 La Cure Waves 18 14 1 3 50:20 43
2 Pamplemousses 18 12 3 3 35:14 39
3 Chebel Citizens 18 11 3 4 28:13 36
4 Cercle De Joachim 18 8 4 6 33:21 28
5 Riviere Du Rempart 18 8 4 6 33:27 28
6 Port Louis 18 7 3 8 26:29 24
7 Petite Riviere 18 7 3 8 23:24 24
8 AS Vacoas 18 7 2 9 24:23 23
9 Beau Bassin (USBBRH) 18 1 5 12 15:46 8
10 PAS Mates 18 0 2 16 10:60 2
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)