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Panaderia vs Herbania

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Tercera RFEF - Group 12
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Match Events

25' Event
Morales A.
82'
Daniel H.
82'
Daniel H.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 12 game between Panaderia and Herbania finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Herbania.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Panaderia
22%
Draws
18%
Herbania
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Panaderia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Herbania haven't matched Panaderia's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Panaderia's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Panaderia have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Panaderia Clean Sheet 20%
Herbania Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Panaderia Herbania
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 13 6
Draws 9 10
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 1 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 26, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Panaderia vs Herbania
0:3
Nov 15, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Herbania vs Panaderia
0:1
Apr 10, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Panaderia vs Herbania
1:0
Nov 30, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Herbania vs Panaderia
0:3
Jan 27, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Herbania vs Panaderia
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Panaderia Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Herbania Compare

Top Goalscorer Justicia G.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Morales A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Panaderia 58 / 100
Herbania 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Panaderia Herbania

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PAN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Panaderia's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Defensive concern: Herbania conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Panaderia remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Panaderia VS Herbania
1 Goals Scored 0.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Panaderia

(Home)
24 May
UD San Fernando
1 : 2
Panaderia
16 May
Panaderia
0 : 2
UD San Fernando
10 May
Panaderia
0 : 0
Union Sur Yaiza
03 May
San Miguel
1 : 1
Panaderia
25 Apr
Panaderia
1 : 1
Atletico Paso
Page 1 of 7

Herbania

(Away)
10 May
Herbania
1 : 1
Atletico Paso
03 May
SD Tenisca
4 : 0
Herbania
25 Apr
Herbania
1 : 0
Real Union Tenerife
22 Apr
Herbania
1 : 1
Telde
18 Apr
Tamaraceite
4 : 1
Herbania
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Atletico Paso341813351:1967
2UD San Fernando34199649:2366
3Mensajero34189751:3163
4Tamaraceite34196956:3663
5Panaderia341510947:3355
6Las Palmas C341591058:4254
7Tenerife C3414101049:4652
8Villa Santa Brigida341551442:3550
9Lanzarote3412121045:3648
10Real Union Tenerife341291334:3245
11San Miguel341091537:4339
12CD Marino348151144:4039
13Union Sur Yaiza341081633:4338
14San Bartolome348121430:5536
15Arucas347121531:4733
16Herbania347111639:5832
17SD Tenisca34672132:6825
18Telde345101930:7125
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 12 (Play Offs)