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Stadium Background

Panathinaikos vs PAOK

Greece Greece

Super League 2025/2026 Apostolos Nikolaidis Stadium, Athens
Panathinaikos Logo

Panathinaikos

2 - 2
FT
PAOK Logo

PAOK

Our Tip

Match Events

28'
Kontouris S.
30' Event
Ozdoev M.
Assist: Pelkas D.
35' Event
Mythou A.
Assist: Zivkovic A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Super League 2025/2026 game between Panathinaikos and PAOK finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Panathinaikos
33%
Draws
27%
PAOK
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Panathinaikos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Panathinaikos haven't matched PAOK's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Panathinaikos a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Super League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Panathinaikos Clean Sheet 12%
PAOK Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Panathinaikos PAOK
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 13 14
Draws 9 8
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 1.75 2.25
Goals Conceded 1.25 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Super League
Panathinaikos vs PAOK
2:2
Apr 5, 2026 Super League
PAOK vs Panathinaikos
0:0
Feb 11, 2026 Greek Cup
PAOK vs Panathinaikos
2:0
Feb 4, 2026 Greek Cup
Panathinaikos vs PAOK
0:1
Dec 21, 2025 Super League
PAOK vs Panathinaikos
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Panathinaikos Compare

Top Goalscorer Gnezda Cerin A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Taborda V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

PAOK Compare

Top Goalscorer Ozdoev M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mythou A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Panathinaikos 38 / 100
PAOK 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Panathinaikos PAOK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PAN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Panathinaikos's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Panathinaikos has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

PAOK has conceded goals in 59% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Panathinaikos VS PAOK
1.75 Goals Scored 2.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Panathinaikos

(Home)
23 Jul
Paks
1 : 2
Panathinaikos
15 Jul
Rapid Vienna
4 : 1
Panathinaikos
11 Jul
Panathinaikos
3 : 0
Grasshoppers
04 Jul
Ajax
1 : 3
Panathinaikos
01 Jul
Helmond Sport
0 : 4
Panathinaikos
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PAOK

(Away)
23 Jul
Dynamo Kyiv
2 : 3
PAOK
11 Jul
PAOK
2 : 3
Twente
07 Jul
PAOK
3 : 2
AEK Larnaca
04 Jul
PAOK
4 : 0
Westerlo
01 Jul
PAOK
4 : 1
SK Beveren
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1AEK32219257:2072
2Olympiacos Piraeus32199451:1766
3PAOK321810459:2564
4Panathinaikos321410847:3352
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)