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Stadium Background

Panetolikos vs Asteras Tripolis

Greece Greece

Super League 2025/2026 Panetolikos Stadium, Agrinio
Our Tip

Match Events

11'
Sub
Esteban D. In: Satsias G.
Out: Esteban D.
12'
Grammenos D.
28' Event
Bartolo J.

AI Match Summary

Asteras Tripolis in this Super League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Asteras Tripolis.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Panetolikos
30%
Draws
28%
Asteras Tripolis
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Panetolikos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Asteras Tripolis have won more games recently than Panetolikos.
  • Win probability leans Panetolikos's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular Super League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Panetolikos Clean Sheet 18%
Asteras Tripolis Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Panetolikos Asteras Tripolis
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 9
Draws 7 10
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 1.1 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2026 Super League
Panetolikos vs Asteras Tripolis
3:1
May 21, 2026 Super League
Panetolikos vs Asteras Tripolis
1:2
Apr 22, 2026 Super League
Asteras Tripolis vs Panetolikos
2:1
Feb 14, 2026 Super League
Panetolikos vs Asteras Tripolis
3:1
Nov 22, 2025 Super League
Asteras Tripolis vs Panetolikos
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Panetolikos Compare

Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Asteras Tripolis Compare

Top Goalscorer Bartolo J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Charalaboglou G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Panetolikos 36 / 100
Asteras Tripolis 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Panetolikos Asteras Tripolis

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Panetolikos's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Asteras Tripolis let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Solid form: Panetolikos remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Panetolikos VS Asteras Tripolis
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Panetolikos

(Home)
20 Sept
Panetolikos
1 : 3
PAOK
13 Sept
Panathinaikos
3 : 0
Panetolikos
06 Sept
Levadiakos
0 : 2
Panetolikos
29 Aug
Panetolikos
2 : 0
Kalamata
23 Aug
Panetolikos
3 : 1
Asteras Tripolis
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Asteras Tripolis

(Away)
20 Sept
OFI Crete
2 : 2
Asteras Tripolis
16 Sept
Niki Volos
0 : 3
Asteras Tripolis
13 Sept
Asteras Tripolis
1 : 1
AEK
10 Sept
Asteras Tripolis
1 : 1
Aris
07 Sept
Asteras Tripolis
0 : 2
Iraklis FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
9 Atromitos 36 12 10 14 49:42 46
10 Kifisia 36 9 14 13 40:51 41
11 Asteras Tripolis 36 8 12 16 36:49 36
12 Panetolikos 36 9 9 18 35:51 36
13 AEL Larissa 36 5 15 16 34:56 30
14 Panserraikos 36 7 8 21 25:73 29
Relegation - Super League 2 (Main)