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Pantanal vs Aquidauanense

Brazil Brazil

Sul-Matogrossense 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Souza David
(Penalty)
18' Event
Paulao
35' Event
Serginho Paulista

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Sul-Matogrossense 2024 tie, finishing 2-2. Extra time or penalties follow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Pantanal
20%
Draws
71%
Aquidauanense
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Aquidauanense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Aquidauanense lately — more wins on the board than Pantanal.
  • 71% — that's where the model lands on Aquidauanense taking it.
  • Aquidauanense arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Pantanal, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Pantanal have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Pantanal Clean Sheet 14%
Aquidauanense Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pantanal Aquidauanense
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 10 12
Draws 11 5
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.4 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.76
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 16, 2025 Sul-Matogrossense
Pantanal vs Aquidauanense
3:2
Mar 23, 2024 Sul-Matogrossense
Aquidauanense vs Pantanal
0:1
Mar 17, 2024 Sul-Matogrossense
Pantanal vs Aquidauanense
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pantanal Compare

Top Goalscorer Dudu
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Aquidauanense Compare

Top Goalscorer Paulao
1 Goals
Assists Leader Serginho Paulista
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pantanal 10 / 100
Aquidauanense 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pantanal Aquidauanense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aquidauanense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.33 goals per match.

Pantanal's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Aquidauanense let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Pantanal has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Pantanal VS Aquidauanense
1.25 Goals Scored 1.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Pantanal

(Home)
01 Mar
Pantanal
2 : 2
Ivinhema
22 Feb
Clube de Regatas Aquidauana
2 : 0
Pantanal
18 Feb
Ji-Parana
2 : 0
Pantanal
11 Feb
Bataguassu
1 : 1
Pantanal
07 Feb
Pantanal
2 : 3
Naviraiense
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Aquidauanense

(Away)
02 Aug
Aquidauanense
2 : 0
Uniao ABC
26 Jul
EC Campo Grande
1 : 3
Aquidauanense
20 Jul
Sao Gabriel MS
1 : 2
Aquidauanense
11 Jul
Aquidauanense
2 : 0
7 de Setembro
04 Jul
Esporte Clube Taveiropolis
0 : 1
Aquidauanense
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Operario MS 2
Ivinhema 1
Aquidauanense 2
Pantanal 3
Dourados 2
Costa Rica 1
Coxim 3
Corumbaense 6
Semi-finals
Operario MS 3
Pantanal 2
Dourados 2
Corumbaense 0
Final
Operario MS 3
Dourados 2