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Papua New Guinea U17 W vs New Caledonia U17 W

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

OFC Championship U17 Women 2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Papua New Guinea U17 W in this OFC Championship U17 Women 2016 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Papua New Guinea U17 W
40%
Draws
29%
New Caledonia U17 W
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Papua New Guinea U17 W lately — more wins on the board than New Caledonia U17 W.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Papua New Guinea U17 W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Papua New Guinea U17 W, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Papua New Guinea U17 W Clean Sheet 10%
New Caledonia U17 W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Papua New Guinea U17 W New Caledonia U17 W
Matches Played 11 8
Wins 6 2
Draws 1 0
Losses 4 6
Goals Scored 2.13 1.75
Goals Conceded 2.88 4.25
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.88 4.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 22, 2016 OFC Championship U16 Women
Papua New Guinea U17 W vs New Caledonia U17 W
2:1
Apr 9, 2012 OFC Championship U16 Women
New Caledonia U17 W vs Papua New Guinea U17 W
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Papua New Guinea U17 W 30 / 100
New Caledonia U17 W 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Papua New Guinea U17 W New Caledonia U17 W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Papua New Guinea U17 W scored in 64% of their last 11 outings.

Defensive concern: New Caledonia U17 W conceded in 75% of 8 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Papua New Guinea U17 W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Papua New Guinea U17 W VS New Caledonia U17 W
2.13 Goals Scored 1.75
2.88 Goals Conceded 4.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Papua New Guinea U17 W

(Home)
24 Jan
New Zealand U17 W
8 : 0
Papua New Guinea U17 W
22 Jan
Papua New Guinea U17 W
2 : 1
New Caledonia U17 W
19 Jan
Fiji U17 W
2 : 2
Papua New Guinea U17 W
17 Jan
Papua New Guinea U17 W
2 : 1
Cook Islands U17 W
15 Jan
Papua New Guinea U17 W
7 : 1
Vanuatu U17 W
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New Caledonia U17 W

(Away)
24 Jan
Fiji U17 W
3 : 2
New Caledonia U17 W
22 Jan
Papua New Guinea U17 W
2 : 1
New Caledonia U17 W
19 Jan
Samoa U17 W
0 : 5
New Caledonia U17 W
16 Jan
New Caledonia U17 W
0 : 12
New Zealand U17 W
14 Jan
New Caledonia U17 W
5 : 0
Tonga U17 W
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
New Zealand U17 W11
Fiji U17 W0
Papua New Guinea U17 W2
New Caledonia U17 W1
Final
New Zealand U17 W8
Papua New Guinea U17 W0
Fiji U17 W3
New Caledonia U17 W2