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Paracatu vs Araguari Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro 3 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

57' Event
Felipe Araujo
70' Event
Rian
77' Event
Nicollas Nascimento

AI Match Summary

The Mineiro 3 2024 game between Paracatu and Araguari finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Paracatu.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Paracatu
15%
Draws
0%
Araguari
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Paracatu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Araguari haven't matched Paracatu's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Paracatu a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Mineiro 3 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Paracatu Clean Sheet 20%
Araguari Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paracatu Araguari
Matches Played 28 16
Wins 13 0
Draws 10 2
Losses 5 14
Goals Scored 1.82 0.19
Goals Conceded 0.89 3.94
Expected Goals (xG) 3.06 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 19, 2024 Mineiro 3
Paracatu vs Araguari
5:0
Aug 31, 2024 Mineiro 3
Araguari vs Paracatu
0:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Paracatu Compare

Top Goalscorer Felipe Araujo
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rian
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.35
Avg xA / game 1.53

Araguari Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paracatu 85 / 100
Araguari 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paracatu Araguari

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Paracatu Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Araguari conceded in 94% of 16 recent games.

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Paracatu went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Araguari's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Paracatu VS Araguari
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 5
63% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Paracatu

(Home)
03 Oct
Paracatu
3 : 0
Funorte EC
26 Sept
Araxa
1 : 2
Paracatu
19 Sept
Paracatu
5 : 0
Siderurgica
22 Nov
Paracatu
0 : 0
Novo Esporte
15 Nov
Tupi-MG
1 : 2
Paracatu
Page 1 of 6

Araguari

(Away)
19 Oct
Paracatu
5 : 0
Araguari
12 Oct
Araguari
0 : 7
Essube
05 Oct
Nacional Uberaba
4 : 0
Araguari
28 Sept
Uberaba
2 : 1
Araguari
21 Sept
Araguari
0 : 6
Uberaba
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Coimbra Esporte Clube 8 6 2 0 21:7 20
2 Contagem 8 4 3 1 14:6 15
3 America TO 8 4 1 3 9:6 13
4 Boston City 8 1 2 5 5:18 5
5 Social 8 0 2 6 3:15 2
Promotion - Mineiro 3 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guarani-MG 10 9 0 1 21:4 27
2 Tupynambas 10 7 0 3 29:8 21
3 Inter de Minas 10 4 3 3 19:17 15
4 Villa Real 10 4 1 5 15:20 13
5 Pocos de Caldas 10 2 2 6 12:20 8
6 Tres Coracoes 10 1 0 9 5:32 3
Promotion - Mineiro 3 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Essube 8 5 1 2 20:10 16
2 Uberaba 8 5 1 2 18:11 16
3 Paracatu 8 4 2 2 18:6 14
4 Nacional Uberaba 8 4 0 4 17:14 12
5 Araguari 8 0 0 8 1:33 0
6 Araxa 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Mineiro 3 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams