Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Paragominas vs Urumajo

Brazil Brazil

Paraense A2
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-0. This leg finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Paragominas
20%
Draws
52%
Urumajo
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Urumajo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Paragominas have won more games recently than Urumajo.
  • 52% — that's where the model lands on Urumajo taking it.
  • Paragominas have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Paragominas, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Paragominas Clean Sheet 20%
Urumajo Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paragominas Urumajo
Matches Played 30 17
Wins 11 10
Draws 12 4
Losses 7 3
Goals Scored 1.47 1.53
Goals Conceded 0.9 0.82
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 13, 2026 Paraense A2
Urumajo vs Paragominas
1:0
Jun 7, 2026 Paraense A2
Paragominas vs Urumajo
2:2
May 17, 2026 Paraense A2
Urumajo vs Paragominas
1:0
May 3, 2026 Paraense A2
Paragominas vs Urumajo
3:1
Jun 29, 2025 Paraense A2
Urumajo vs Paragominas
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paragominas 28 / 100
Urumajo 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paragominas Urumajo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Urumajo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Paragominas scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Paragominas stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Urumajo let in goals in 41% of their last 17 matches.

Scoring Trends

Paragominas VS Urumajo
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Paragominas

(Home)
13 Jun
Urumajo
1 : 0
Paragominas
07 Jun
Paragominas
2 : 2
Urumajo
03 Jun
Caete
0 : 2
Paragominas
30 May
Paragominas
2 : 0
Caete
17 May
Urumajo
1 : 0
Paragominas
Page 1 of 6

Urumajo

(Away)
27 Jun
Urumajo
2 : 1
Izabelense
13 Jun
Urumajo
1 : 0
Paragominas
07 Jun
Paragominas
2 : 2
Urumajo
03 Jun
Urumajo
3 : 0
Santos PA
30 May
Santos PA
0 : 1
Urumajo
Page 1 of 4

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Urumajo 4
Santos PA 0
Caete 0
Paragominas 4
Independente 0
Itupiranga 1
Carajas 1
Izabelense 3
Semi-finals
Urumajo 3
Paragominas 2
Itupiranga 1
Izabelense 2
Final
Urumajo 2
Izabelense 1