Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Paraguay W vs Venezuela W

South America South America

Copa América Women Estadio Gonzalo Pozo Ripalda, Quito
Paraguay W Logo

Paraguay W

2 - 1
FT
Venezuela W Logo

Venezuela W

Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Altuve O.
41'
Carrasco R.
45'
Rodriguez D.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-1. The second leg ended 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Paraguay W
15%
Draws
48%
Venezuela W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Venezuela W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Venezuela W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Paraguay W are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Venezuela W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Venezuela W, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Paraguay W Clean Sheet 68%
Venezuela W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paraguay W Venezuela W
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 10 13
Draws 2 6
Losses 18 10
Goals Scored 1.33 1.83
Goals Conceded 2.03 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 28, 2025 CONMEBOL Nations League Women
Paraguay W vs Venezuela W
1:2
Jul 26, 2025 Copa América Women
Paraguay W vs Venezuela W
2:1
Oct 8, 2019 Friendly International Women
Venezuela W vs Paraguay W
1:0
Oct 4, 2019 Friendly International Women
Venezuela W vs Paraguay W
1:1
Nov 7, 2010 Copa América Women
Venezuela W vs Paraguay W
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Paraguay W Compare

Top Goalscorer Acosta F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Martinez Ovando C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Venezuela W Compare

Top Goalscorer Altuve O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paraguay W 59 / 100
Venezuela W 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paraguay W Venezuela W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Paraguay W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Paraguay W scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Paraguay W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Venezuela W let in goals in 59% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Paraguay W VS Venezuela W
1.75 Goals Scored 2.5
2 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Paraguay W

(Home)
12 Jul
Penarol W
1 : 2
Paraguay W
09 Jul
Palmeiras W
3 : 0
Paraguay W
09 Jun
Paraguay W
3 : 4
Colombia W
05 Jun
Bolivia W
0 : 8
Paraguay W
14 Apr
Peru W
1 : 1
Paraguay W
Page 1 of 6

Venezuela W

(Away)
06 Aug
Venezuela W
1 : 2
El Salvador W
04 Aug
Venezuela W
2 : 3
Colombia W
02 Aug
Dominican Republic W
0 : 1
Venezuela W
31 Jul
Venezuela W
2 : 0
El Salvador W
29 Jul
Costa Rica W
0 : 3
Venezuela W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Argentina W 4 4 0 0 6:1 12
2 Uruguay W 4 2 1 1 6:3 7
3 Chile W 4 2 0 2 6:6 6
4 Ecuador W 4 1 1 2 6:7 4
5 Peru W 4 0 0 4 1:8 0
Promotion - Copa América Women (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa América Women (5th-6th places)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brazil W 4 3 1 0 12:1 10
2 Colombia W 4 2 2 0 12:1 8
3 Paraguay W 4 2 0 2 8:9 6
4 Venezuela W 4 1 1 2 8:5 4
5 Bolivia W 4 0 0 4 1:25 0
Promotion - Copa América Women (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa América Women (5th-6th places)