Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Parana S.T.C. vs AA Iguacu

Brazil Brazil

Paranaense 3
Sat, Sep 26, 2026
VS
09:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 1-2. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. AA Iguacu have shipped 1.28 goals a game lately, while Parana S.T.C. have conceded 1.38 and scored 0.97. Head-to-head, Parana S.T.C. have won 1 to AA Iguacu's 3, with 0 draws. They last met on Sep 20, 2026, ending 1:2. The numbers (0.88 xG vs 1.06) point toward AA Iguacu. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Parana S.T.C.
15%
Draws
27%
AA Iguacu
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Parana S.T.C.

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • AA Iguacu have won more games recently than Parana S.T.C..
  • Parana S.T.C. are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • AA Iguacu arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor AA Iguacu, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • AA Iguacu have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Parana S.T.C. Clean Sheet 20%
AA Iguacu Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Parana S.T.C. AA Iguacu
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 10
Draws 6 6
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 0.97 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Paranaense 3
AA Iguacu vs Parana S.T.C.
1:2
May 18, 2025 Paranaense 2
AA Iguacu vs Parana S.T.C.
2:0
Jun 3, 2023 Paranaense 2
Parana S.T.C. vs AA Iguacu
0:1
May 8, 2022 Paranaense 2
AA Iguacu vs Parana S.T.C.
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Parana S.T.C. 67 / 100
AA Iguacu 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Parana S.T.C. AA Iguacu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Parana S.T.C. Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Parana S.T.C. stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

H2H data points to 1.75 goals as a typical output.

Parana S.T.C. scored in 55% of their last 29 games.

AA Iguacu's defensive record shows goals conceded in 55% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Parana S.T.C. VS AA Iguacu
1.13 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.63
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Parana S.T.C.

(Home)
20 Sept
AA Iguacu
1 : 2
Parana S.T.C.
12 Sept
Uniao PR
1 : 2
Parana S.T.C.
05 Sept
Parana S.T.C.
2 : 1
Uniao PR
30 Aug
Parana S.T.C.
1 : 0
Associacao Portuguesa Londrinense
22 Aug
City London
0 : 1
Parana S.T.C.
Page 1 of 6

AA Iguacu

(Away)
20 Sept
AA Iguacu
1 : 2
Parana S.T.C.
13 Sept
AA Iguacu
1 : 0
Iraty
06 Sept
Iraty
1 : 1
AA Iguacu
30 Aug
AA Iguacu
2 : 0
Samas
23 Aug
Iraty
2 : 0
AA Iguacu
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Hope Internacional 4
City London 5
Oeste Brasil 3
CA Cambe 4
Uniao PR 2
Parana S.T.C. 4
AA Iguacu 2
Iraty 1
Semi-finals
City London 4
CA Cambe 0
Parana S.T.C. 2
AA Iguacu 1
Final
TBD -
TBD -