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Parana vs Prudentopolis

Brazil Brazil

Paranaense 2 Estádio Durival Britto e Silva, Curitiba
Our Tip

Match Events

59' Event
Ruan Lima

AI Match Summary

The Paranaense 2 game between Parana and Prudentopolis finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Parana.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Parana
20%
Draws
0%
Prudentopolis
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Parana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Parana carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Parana's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Parana have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Parana Clean Sheet 68%
Prudentopolis Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Parana Prudentopolis
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 14 10
Draws 9 10
Losses 6 10
Goals Scored 1.24 0.97
Goals Conceded 0.76 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 2.15 0.55
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 27, 2026 Paranaense 2
Parana vs Prudentopolis
1:0
Feb 10, 2018 Paranaense
Parana vs Prudentopolis
3:0
Mar 19, 2017 Paranaense
Parana vs Prudentopolis
3:1
Jan 31, 2015 Paranaense
Parana vs Prudentopolis
3:1
Feb 16, 2014 Paranaense
Parana vs Prudentopolis
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Parana Compare

Top Goalscorer Ruan Lima
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.07

Prudentopolis Compare

Avg xG / game 0.5
Avg xA / game 0.31

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Parana 95 / 100
Prudentopolis 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Parana Prudentopolis

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Parana Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 2:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Away concern: Prudentopolis has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Parana scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Parana has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Parana VS Prudentopolis
2.5 Goals Scored 0.6
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.8
88% Over 1.5 60%
50% Over 2.5 60%
25% Over 3.5 20%

Recent Form & Match History

Parana

(Home)
21 Sept
Londrina B
2 : 2
Parana
13 Sept
Azuriz
0 : 0
Parana
05 Sept
Parana
2 : 1
FC Cascavel
29 Aug
Athletico-PR B
1 : 2
Parana
06 Jun
Parana
0 : 1
Paranavai-PR
Page 1 of 6

Prudentopolis

(Away)
25 Apr
Rio Branco PR
3 : 1
Prudentopolis
18 Apr
Patriotas
2 : 1
Prudentopolis
12 Apr
Prudentopolis
0 : 1
Araucaria
04 Apr
Prudentopolis
0 : 1
Laranja Mecanica
29 Mar
Paranavai-PR
2 : 1
Prudentopolis
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Parana 9 7 2 0 14:3 23
2 Patriotas 9 6 1 2 16:9 19
3 Laranja Mecanica 9 4 2 3 7:9 14
4 Araucaria 9 3 3 3 13:14 12
5 Rio Branco PR 9 2 5 2 16:14 11
6 Paranavai-PR 9 3 1 5 10:11 10
7 Nacional PR 9 2 4 3 9:12 10
8 Toledo 9 2 4 3 6:10 10
9 Batel 9 2 3 4 10:10 9
10 Prudentopolis 9 1 1 7 4:13 4
Promotion - Paranaense 2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Paranaense 3 2027 (Main)