Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Paranoa vs Luziania

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Brasiliense 2022
Paranoa Logo

Paranoa

1 - 1
FT
Luziania Logo

Luziania

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Campeonato Brasiliense 2022 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Paranoa
20%
Draws
50%
Luziania
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Luziania

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Very High Confidence
  • Paranoa have won more games recently than Luziania.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Luziania taking it.
  • Regular Campeonato Brasiliense 2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Paranoa Clean Sheet 17%
Luziania Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paranoa Luziania
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 13 6
Draws 6 6
Losses 12 18
Goals Scored 1 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.63 0.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.14
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 0.57

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 12, 2022 Brasiliense
Paranoa vs Luziania
1:1
Jan 26, 2020 Brasiliense
Luziania vs Paranoa
1:0
Feb 7, 2018 Brasiliense
Paranoa vs Luziania
0:0
Feb 4, 2017 Brasiliense
Luziania vs Paranoa
1:1
Apr 7, 2007 Brasiliense
Luziania vs Paranoa
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paranoa 10 / 100
Luziania 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paranoa Luziania

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LUZ Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Paranoa found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (31 games).

Luziania has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Solid form: Paranoa remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Paranoa VS Luziania
1 Goals Scored 1.14
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.57
63% Over 1.5 57%
50% Over 2.5 29%
13% Over 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

Paranoa

(Home)
28 Feb
Paranoa
0 : 6
Samambaia
21 Feb
Ceilandia
4 : 1
Paranoa
11 Feb
Paranoa
0 : 1
Brasiliense
07 Feb
Real Brasilia
4 : 5
Paranoa
31 Jan
Gama
4 : 1
Paranoa
Page 1 of 7

Luziania

(Away)
11 Oct
Luziania
0 : 1
Planaltina
04 Oct
Luziania
2 : 0
Candango
27 Sept
Brasilia FC (DF)
2 : 1
Luziania
21 Sept
ARUC
0 : 0
Luziania
14 Sept
Luziania
0 : 0
Cruzeiro FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ceilandia 9 6 1 2 20:12 19
2 Capital 9 5 3 1 20:8 18
3 Brasiliense 9 5 1 3 23:12 16
4 Gama 9 4 3 2 16:13 15
5 Santa Maria 9 3 3 3 15:16 12
6 Paranoa 9 3 2 4 13:14 11
7 Brasilia FC (DF) 9 3 2 4 12:17 11
8 Taguatinga 9 2 4 3 11:17 10
9 Unai EC 9 2 3 4 12:15 9
10 Luziania 9 0 2 7 7:25 2
Promotion - Campeonato Brasiliense 2022 (Winners stage)