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Paraty vs Belford Roxo Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Carioca B2
Paraty Logo

Paraty

0 - 4
FT
Belford Roxo Logo

Belford Roxo

Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Adriano de Souza Amaro W.
18' Event
Hudson
70' Event
Batista Martins G.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Carioca B2 game between Paraty and Belford Roxo finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Belford Roxo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Paraty
30%
Draws
70%
Belford Roxo
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Belford Roxo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Belford Roxo haven't matched Paraty's recent run of results.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on Belford Roxo taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Paraty Clean Sheet 12%
Belford Roxo Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paraty Belford Roxo
Matches Played 28 26
Wins 10 7
Draws 5 11
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 1.57 1.42
Goals Conceded 1.46 1.42
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Carioca B2
Paraty vs Belford Roxo
0:4
Oct 6, 2025 Carioca B2
Paraty vs Belford Roxo
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Paraty Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Belford Roxo Compare

Top Goalscorer Adriano de Souza Amaro W.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hudson
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paraty 10 / 100
Belford Roxo 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paraty Belford Roxo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Belford Roxo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Paraty scored in 71% of their last 28 games.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Belford Roxo has conceded goals in 58% of their last 26 outings.

Belford Roxo lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Paraty VS Belford Roxo
0.5 Goals Scored 1.38
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Paraty

(Home)
01 Oct
Buzios
3 : 2
Paraty
27 Sept
Paraty
0 : 3
Paduano EC
21 Sept
7 de Abril
1 : 0
Paraty
13 Sept
Paraty
1 : 4
Friburguense
06 Sept
Campos AA
2 : 1
Paraty
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Belford Roxo

(Away)
01 Oct
Belford Roxo
3 : 0
Santa Cruz RJ
27 Sept
Friburguense
2 : 2
Belford Roxo
20 Sept
Belford Roxo
1 : 2
Cardoso Moreira
13 Sept
Campos AA
2 : 2
Belford Roxo
06 Sept
Belford Roxo
0 : 0
FC Rio de Janeiro
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Friburguense 6 4 2 0 11:4 14
2 Cardoso Moreira 6 4 0 2 9:5 12
3 Santa Cruz RJ 6 4 0 2 9:5 12
4 Paduano EC 6 3 2 1 9:5 11
5 Serra Macaense 6 3 1 2 11:8 10
6 7 de Abril 6 3 1 2 10:8 10
7 Belford Roxo 6 2 3 1 12:6 9
8 FC Rio de Janeiro 6 2 1 3 7:7 7
9 Campos AA 6 1 3 2 8:10 6
10 Barra Mansa 6 1 3 2 6:10 6
11 Buzios 6 1 0 5 4:15 3
12 Paraty 6 0 0 6 4:17 0
Promotion - Carioca B2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Carioca C 2027 (Main)