Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Paraty play Santa Cruz RJ in the Carioca B2. It looks like a close match. Recently, Paraty averaged 1.67 goals scored and 1.3 conceded. Santa Cruz RJ averaged 2.35 goals scored and 1.35 conceded. In past meetings, Paraty won 1, Santa Cruz RJ won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on Nov 6, 2025 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.88 for Paraty and 1.25 for Santa Cruz RJ. This points to a Santa Cruz RJ double chance or over markets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Paraty picked up more points recently compared to Santa Cruz RJ.
- Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.88 vs 1.25 xG).
- Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 62%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Paraty | Santa Cruz RJ |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 12 | 20 |
| Draws | 5 | 5 |
| Losses | 13 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.67 | 2.35 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.3 | 1.35 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.88 | 0.63 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Paraty Compare
Santa Cruz RJ Compare
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Value Bet Detector (+EV)
Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds
Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations
Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Paraty scored in 73% of their last 30 games.
Santa Cruz RJ let in goals in 61% of their last 31 matches.
Games between these two average 2.60 goals.
Paraty went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Santa Cruz RJ lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Interactive Team Comparison Slider
Side-by-side comparison of team metrics
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Santa Cruz RJ | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 14:3 | 22 |
| 2 | Belford Roxo | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 17:8 | 16 |
| 3 | Goytacaz | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 13:8 | 16 |
| 4 | Macae | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13:5 | 13 |
| 5 | Serra Macaense | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 9:7 | 13 |
| 6 | Paraty | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9:10 | 8 |
| 7 | 7 de Abril | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 11:13 | 8 |
| 8 | FC Rio de Janeiro | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 7:25 | 3 |
| 9 | Barra Mansa | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4:18 | 2 |