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Parma U20 vs Spezia U20

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Primavera - Group A 2012/2013
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Primavera - Group A 2012/2013 game between Parma U20 and Spezia U20 finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Parma U20
35%
Draws
27%
Spezia U20
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Parma U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Parma U20 come out ahead of Spezia U20 on wins alone.
  • Model gives Parma U20 a 38% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Parma U20 Clean Sheet 20%
Spezia U20 Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Parma U20 Spezia U20
Matches Played 32 26
Wins 16 10
Draws 9 5
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 1.5 1.04
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.46
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 13, 2013 Primavera - Group A
Parma U20 vs Spezia U20
1:1
Nov 24, 2012 Primavera - Group A
Spezia U20 vs Parma U20
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Parma U20 85 / 100
Spezia U20 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Parma U20 Spezia U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Parma U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Spezia U20 conceded in 81% of 26 recent games.

Parma U20 has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: Parma U20 scored in 75% of their last 32 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Parma U20 VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 0
38% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Parma U20

(Home)
20 Sept
Parma U20
2 : 2
Cagliari U20
11 Sept
Parma U20
2 : 1
Genoa U20
05 Sept
Lazio U20
0 : 1
Parma U20
28 Aug
Parma U20
4 : 0
Sassuolo U20
22 Aug
Juventus U20
2 : 2
Parma U20
Page 1 of 7

Spezia U20

(Away)
21 Apr
Spezia U20
2 : 1
Fiorentina U20
13 Apr
Parma U20
1 : 1
Spezia U20
07 Apr
Spezia U20
2 : 0
Cagliari U20
03 Apr
Genoa U20
1 : 1
Spezia U20
22 Mar
Spezia U20
0 : 4
Siena U20
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Juventus U20 26 19 4 3 49:19 61
2 Fiorentina U20 26 18 2 6 59:25 56
3 Torino U20 26 15 8 3 40:19 53
4 Genoa U20 26 13 7 6 41:31 46
5 Empoli U20 26 12 5 9 41:37 41
6 Parma U20 26 11 3 12 37:39 36
7 Spezia U20 26 10 5 11 27:38 35
8 Novara U20 26 9 4 13 35:42 31
9 Siena U20 26 8 6 12 30:35 30
10 Pro Vercelli U20 26 9 3 14 26:40 30
11 Sampdoria U20 26 7 7 12 33:32 28
12 Cagliari U20 26 7 5 14 33:42 26
13 Livorno U20 26 6 7 13 36:53 25
14 Grosseto U20 26 3 4 19 25:60 13
Promotion - Primavera - Final Stage 2012/2013 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Primavera - Final Stage 2012/2013 (Qualification)