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Parnu vs Narva U21

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga B 2023
Parnu Logo

Parnu

1 - 4
FT
Narva U21 Logo

Narva U21

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Narva U21 in this Esiliiga B 2023 matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Narva U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Parnu
15%
Draws
85%
Narva U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Narva U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Narva U21 lately — more wins on the board than Parnu.
  • Win probability leans Narva U21's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Esiliiga B 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Narva U21 here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Parnu Clean Sheet 12%
Narva U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Parnu Narva U21
Matches Played 30 37
Wins 6 26
Draws 4 3
Losses 20 8
Goals Scored 1.23 2.73
Goals Conceded 2.63 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 1.74
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 28, 2024 Esiliiga B
Parnu vs Narva U21
1:0
Aug 11, 2024 Esiliiga B
Narva U21 vs Parnu
2:0
Jul 14, 2024 Esiliiga B
Narva U21 vs Parnu
2:0
Mar 17, 2024 Esiliiga B
Parnu vs Narva U21
1:3
Sep 24, 2023 Esiliiga B
Narva U21 vs Parnu
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Parnu 10 / 100
Narva U21 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Parnu Narva U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Narva U21 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Parnu found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Narva U21's defensive record shows goals conceded in 57% of 37 matches.

Away concern: Narva U21 has suffered 1 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Narva U21
0 Goals Scored 2.38
0 Goals Conceded 2
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Parnu

(Home)
10 Nov
Kuressaare U21
3 : 1
Parnu
03 Nov
Parnu
1 : 10
Kalju U21
27 Oct
Laanemaa Haapsalu
2 : 1
Parnu
24 Oct
Parnu
2 : 3
Tartu Kalev
20 Oct
Johvi Phoenix
6 : 3
Parnu
Page 1 of 6

Narva U21

(Away)
11 Sept
Narva U21
1 : 0
Levadia U19
06 Sept
Tartu Kalev
0 : 1
Narva U21
29 Aug
Narva U21
4 : 0
Tabasalu
23 Aug
Tulevik
3 : 3
Narva U21
19 Aug
Levadia U19
1 : 0
Narva U21
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tartu JK Welco 36 23 5 8 92:42 74
2 Tallinna Kalev U21 36 19 10 7 99:53 67
3 Narva U21 36 19 7 10 69:48 64
4 Tartu Kalev 36 18 7 11 85:71 61
5 Kuressaare U21 36 17 10 9 87:76 61
6 Tulevik 36 16 7 13 58:55 55
7 Tammeka Tartu U21 36 12 8 16 63:70 44
8 Kalju U21 36 12 5 19 90:103 41
9 Laanemaa Haapsalu 36 8 2 26 67:120 26
10 Parnu 36 3 5 28 34:106 14
Promotion - Esiliiga 2024 (Main)
Promotion - Esiliiga 2023 (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga B 2023 (Relegation)