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Paro Rinpung vs Ugyen Academy

Bhutan Bhutan

Premier League 2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Paro Rinpung play Ugyen Academy in the Premier League 2022. Ugyen Academy are favorites here. Recently, Paro Rinpung averaged 1.33 goals scored and 5.07 conceded. Ugyen Academy averaged 2 goals scored and 2.82 conceded. In past meetings, Paro Rinpung won 0, Ugyen Academy won 4, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jan 1, 2023 ended 6:7. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.04 for Paro Rinpung and 1.55 for Ugyen Academy. This points to a Ugyen Academy double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

15%
Paro Rinpung
15%
Draws
70%
Ugyen Academy
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ugyen Academy

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Paro Rinpung picked up more points recently compared to Ugyen Academy.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.04 vs 1.55 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 85%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 90%
Over 2.5 Goals 85%
Over 3.5 Goals 51%
Over 4.5 Goals 26%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Paro Rinpung Clean Sheet 15%
Ugyen Academy Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 81%
Second Half Goal 86%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paro Rinpung Ugyen Academy
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 2 14
Draws 3 1
Losses 25 19
Goals Scored 1.33 2
Goals Conceded 5.07 2.82

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 1, 2023 Premier League
Paro Rinpung vs Ugyen Academy
6:7
Oct 30, 2022 Premier League
Ugyen Academy vs Paro Rinpung
3:1
Sep 4, 2021 Premier League
Paro Rinpung vs Ugyen Academy
4:5
Jun 1, 2021 Premier League
Ugyen Academy vs Paro Rinpung
3:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paro Rinpung 17 / 100
Ugyen Academy 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paro Rinpung Ugyen Academy

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ugyen Academy Win (2)
Secondary Pick Ugyen Academy & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +114.3%
14.29
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +7.9%
1.27
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Paro Rinpung attacking → ← attacking Ugyen Academy

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Paro Rinpung scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Ugyen Academy let in goals in 82% of their last 34 matches.

Games between these two average 7.25 goals.

Paro Rinpung went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Ugyen Academy lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

9 Points in last 5 43
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 2.00
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.88