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Paro vs Ugyen Academy

Bhutan Bhutan

Premier League 2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Paro play Ugyen Academy in the Premier League 2022. Paro are favorites here. Recently, Paro averaged 3.66 goals scored and 1.07 conceded. Ugyen Academy averaged 1.8 goals scored and 2.87 conceded. In past meetings, Paro won 5, Ugyen Academy won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jun 23, 2026 ended 11:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 3.06 for Paro and 1.69 for Ugyen Academy. This points to a Paro double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

63%
Paro
15%
Draws
22%
Ugyen Academy
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Paro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

89% / Very High Confidence
  • Paro picked up more points recently compared to Ugyen Academy.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (3.06 vs 1.69 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 89%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 59%
Paro Clean Sheet 13%
Ugyen Academy Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 80%
Second Half Goal 85%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paro Ugyen Academy
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 22 10
Draws 3 2
Losses 4 18
Goals Scored 3.66 1.8
Goals Conceded 1.07 2.87
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 4.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 23, 2026 Premier League
Paro vs Ugyen Academy
11:0
Aug 2, 2025 Premier League
Paro vs Ugyen Academy
3:2
Jun 28, 2025 Premier League
Ugyen Academy vs Paro
0:3
Nov 13, 2023 Premier League
Ugyen Academy vs Paro
1:5
Aug 26, 2023 Premier League
Ugyen Academy vs Paro
0:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paro 59 / 100
Ugyen Academy 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paro Ugyen Academy

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Paro Win (1)
Secondary Pick Paro & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +14.7%
1.82
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +7.5%
1.28
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Paro attacking → ← attacking Ugyen Academy

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Paro scored in 90% of their last 29 games.

Ugyen Academy let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 5.60 goals.

Paro went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Ugyen Academy lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

69 Points in last 5 32
2.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.38
2.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 4.13