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Paterna vs Atletico Saguntino

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Tercera Division - Group 6 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Paterna play Atletico Saguntino in the Tercera Division - Group 6 2020/2021. It looks like a close match. Recently, Paterna averaged 0.93 goals scored and 1.14 conceded. Atletico Saguntino averaged 1.53 goals scored and 0.84 conceded. In past meetings, Paterna won 0, Atletico Saguntino won 4, and they drew 1. Their last match on Feb 13, 2021 ended 0:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.10 for Paterna and 1.05 for Atletico Saguntino. This points to a Atletico Saguntino double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Paterna
27%
Draws
48%
Atletico Saguntino
Draw rate projection: 27% Favored: Atletico Saguntino

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / High Confidence
  • Paterna picked up more points recently compared to Atletico Saguntino.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.10 vs 1.05 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 65%
Over 2.5 Goals 39%
Over 3.5 Goals 23%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 42%
Paterna Clean Sheet 22%
Atletico Saguntino Clean Sheet 14%
First Half Goal 59%
Second Half Goal 62%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paterna Atletico Saguntino
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 7 19
Draws 12 6
Losses 10 7
Goals Scored 0.93 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.14 0.84

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 13, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Paterna vs Atletico Saguntino
0:2
Nov 21, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Atletico Saguntino vs Paterna
3:0
Mar 1, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Atletico Saguntino vs Paterna
3:0
Oct 13, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Paterna vs Atletico Saguntino
0:0
Jan 19, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Atletico Saguntino vs Paterna
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paterna 27 / 100
Atletico Saguntino 46 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paterna Atletico Saguntino

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Atletico Saguntino or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +47%
5.88
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +18.2%
3.03
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Paterna attacking → ← attacking Atletico Saguntino

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Paterna scored in 59% of their last 29 games.

Atletico Saguntino let in goals in 56% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Paterna went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Atletico Saguntino lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

33 Points in last 5 63
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.00
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Alzira20108229:1238
2Roda2098328:1635
3Atletico Saguntino20710330:2731
4Villarreal C20612232:1830
5Silla CF20510520:2125
6Recambios Colon2058716:1923
7Benicarlo20410622:2122
8Torrent2049717:2521
9Acero2048818:2520
10Paterna20311614:2520
11Vilamarxant20361113:3015
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Eldense18125130:1141
2Ilicitano18115233:1738
3CF Intercity18107130:837
4Olimpic Xativa1874722:2425
5UD Beniganim1855814:3020
6Jove1854917:2319
7Crevillente1854917:2419
8Hercules B1846813:1718
9Villajoyosa1845917:2717
10Novelda CF18331215:2712