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Patriotas vs Prudentopolis

Brazil Brazil

Paranaense 2
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Nivaldo
22' Event
Davi R.
80' Event
Vinicius Ribeiro

AI Match Summary

Patriotas in this Paranaense 2 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Patriotas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Patriotas
15%
Draws
0%
Prudentopolis
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Patriotas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Patriotas lately — more wins on the board than Prudentopolis.
  • Model gives Patriotas a 85% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Patriotas Clean Sheet 68%
Prudentopolis Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Patriotas Prudentopolis
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 10
Draws 6 10
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.13 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Paranaense 2
Patriotas vs Prudentopolis
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Patriotas Compare

Top Goalscorer Nivaldo
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vinicius Ribeiro
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Prudentopolis Compare

Top Goalscorer Davi R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Patriotas 86 / 100
Prudentopolis 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Patriotas Prudentopolis

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Patriotas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Prudentopolis's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Attacking prowess: Patriotas scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Patriotas remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Patriotas VS Prudentopolis
1.88 Goals Scored 0.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Patriotas

(Home)
24 May
Patriotas
0 : 2
Paranavai-PR
16 May
Paranavai-PR
1 : 2
Patriotas
10 May
Patriotas
1 : 0
Nacional PR
02 May
Nacional PR
0 : 0
Patriotas
25 Apr
Parana
2 : 1
Patriotas
Page 1 of 6

Prudentopolis

(Away)
25 Apr
Rio Branco PR
3 : 1
Prudentopolis
18 Apr
Patriotas
2 : 1
Prudentopolis
12 Apr
Prudentopolis
0 : 1
Araucaria
04 Apr
Prudentopolis
0 : 1
Laranja Mecanica
29 Mar
Paranavai-PR
2 : 1
Prudentopolis
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Parana 9 7 2 0 14:3 23
2 Patriotas 9 6 1 2 16:9 19
3 Laranja Mecanica 9 4 2 3 7:9 14
4 Araucaria 9 3 3 3 13:14 12
5 Rio Branco PR 9 2 5 2 16:14 11
6 Paranavai-PR 9 3 1 5 10:11 10
7 Nacional PR 9 2 4 3 9:12 10
8 Toledo 9 2 4 3 6:10 10
9 Batel 9 2 3 4 10:10 9
10 Prudentopolis 9 1 1 7 4:13 4
Promotion - Paranaense 2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Paranaense 3 2027 (Main)