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Stadium Background

Patronato vs Colon Santa Fe

Argentina Argentina

Primera Nacional Estadio Presbítero Bartolomé Grella
Our Tip

Match Events

37'
Heredia F.
40'
Enrique M.
41'
Lertora F.

AI Match Summary

The Primera Nacional game between Patronato and Colon Santa Fe finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Colon Santa Fe.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Patronato
17%
Draws
70%
Colon Santa Fe
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Colon Santa Fe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Colon Santa Fe carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Colon Santa Fe a 70% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Primera Nacional form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 20%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.200000000000003%
Patronato Clean Sheet 22%
Colon Santa Fe Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Patronato Colon Santa Fe
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 6 11
Draws 14 10
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 0.75 1.38
Goals Conceded 0.75 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2026 Primera Nacional
Patronato vs Colon Santa Fe
0:2
Jul 14, 2024 Primera Nacional
Patronato vs Colon Santa Fe
1:0
Feb 25, 2024 Primera Nacional
Colon Santa Fe vs Patronato
4:0
Oct 5, 2022 Liga Profesional
Colon Santa Fe vs Patronato
1:0
Jun 22, 2022 Copa Argentina
Patronato vs Colon Santa Fe
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Patronato Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Colon Santa Fe Compare

Top Goalscorer Lago I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bonansea A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Patronato 16 / 100
Colon Santa Fe 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Patronato Colon Santa Fe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick COL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Colon Santa Fe has conceded goals in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Patronato went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Patronato scored in 48% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Patronato VS Colon Santa Fe
0.75 Goals Scored 1.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ferro21134425:1443
2Deportivo Moron20105529:1935
3Colon Santa Fe2198427:1735
4Los Andes2088419:832
5Ciudad Bolivar21710419:1631
6CA Estudiantes2187618:1631
7Almirante Brown2187615:1331
8Deportivo Madryn2078527:2229
9Godoy Cruz2077620:1728
10San Miguel20510517:2125
11Racing Cordoba2166920:2524
12Defensores de Belgrano2058714:1823
13All Boys21410713:2022
14CA Mitre2149820:2721
15San Telmo2048816:2120
16Acassuso20541115:2319
17Central Norte2047912:2119
18Chaco For Ever20371017:2616
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Gimnasia Jujuy20115432:2238
2Atletico Atlanta20113625:1536
3Temperley21810321:1734
4Tristan Suarez2089317:1133
5Midland2086621:1530
6San Martin T.2179519:1530
7Deportivo Maipu2185827:2129
8Atl. Rafaela2176815:1827
9San Martin S.J.1975720:1926
10Nueva Chicago2068618:1826
11Gimnasia y Tiro2067719:2125
12Almagro2074916:2225
13Quilmes2066818:1624
14Colegiales2065918:2023
15Chacarita Juniors2065916:2123
16Patronato20410613:1722
17Agropecuario2148915:2520
18Club Atletico Guemes20541118:3419