Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Patronato vs San Martin T.

Argentina Argentina

Primera Nacional Estadio Presbítero Bartolomé Grella
Our Tip

Match Events

17'
Salazar V.
21' Event
Veliez A.
Assist: Diellos D.
39'
Rueda W.

AI Match Summary

The Primera Nacional game between Patronato and San Martin T. finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward San Martin T..

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Patronato
33%
Draws
27%
San Martin T.
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Patronato

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and San Martin T. come out ahead of Patronato on wins alone.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Patronato taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 5%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 23.6%
Patronato Clean Sheet 68%
San Martin T. Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Patronato San Martin T.
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 6 9
Draws 14 12
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 0.75 0.5
Goals Conceded 0.75 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 5, 2026 Primera Nacional
Patronato vs San Martin T.
0:1
Feb 15, 2026 Primera Nacional
San Martin T. vs Patronato
0:0
Jun 28, 2025 Primera Nacional
San Martin T. vs Patronato
0:1
Feb 23, 2025 Primera Nacional
Patronato vs San Martin T.
0:1
Oct 6, 2024 Primera Nacional
Patronato vs San Martin T.
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Patronato Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

San Martin T. Compare

Top Goalscorer Veliez A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Patronato 50 / 100
San Martin T. 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Patronato San Martin T.

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PAT Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Patronato remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Patronato found the back of the net in 48% of recent matches (29 games).

San Martin T. has conceded goals in 55% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 0.80 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Patronato VS San Martin T.
0.75 Goals Scored 0.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ferro21134425:1443
2Deportivo Moron20105529:1935
3Colon Santa Fe2198427:1735
4Los Andes2088419:832
5Ciudad Bolivar21710419:1631
6CA Estudiantes2187618:1631
7Almirante Brown2187615:1331
8Deportivo Madryn2078527:2229
9Godoy Cruz2077620:1728
10San Miguel20510517:2125
11Racing Cordoba2166920:2524
12Defensores de Belgrano2058714:1823
13All Boys21410713:2022
14CA Mitre2149820:2721
15San Telmo2048816:2120
16Acassuso20541115:2319
17Central Norte2047912:2119
18Chaco For Ever20371017:2616
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Gimnasia Jujuy20115432:2238
2Atletico Atlanta20113625:1536
3Temperley21810321:1734
4Tristan Suarez2089317:1133
5Midland2086621:1530
6San Martin T.2179519:1530
7Deportivo Maipu2185827:2129
8Atl. Rafaela2176815:1827
9San Martin S.J.1975720:1926
10Nueva Chicago2068618:1826
11Gimnasia y Tiro2067719:2125
12Almagro2074916:2225
13Quilmes2066818:1624
14Colegiales2065918:2023
15Chacarita Juniors2065916:2123
16Patronato20410613:1722
17Agropecuario2148915:2520
18Club Atletico Guemes20541118:3419