Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Patronato vs San Martin T.

Argentina Argentina

Primera Nacional Estadio Presbítero Bartolomé Grella, Paraná
Patronato Logo

Patronato

0 - 1
FT
San Martin T. Logo

San Martin T.

Our Tip

Match Events

17'
Salazar V.
21' Event
Veliez A.
Assist: Diellos D.
39'
Rueda W.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Primera Nacional game between Patronato and San Martin T. finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward San Martin T..

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Patronato
35%
Draws
35%
San Martin T.
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and San Martin T. come out ahead of Patronato on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Patronato Clean Sheet 68%
San Martin T. Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Patronato San Martin T.
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 5 9
Draws 15 11
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 0.83 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 5, 2026 Primera Nacional
Patronato vs San Martin T.
0:1
Feb 15, 2026 Primera Nacional
San Martin T. vs Patronato
0:0
Jun 28, 2025 Primera Nacional
San Martin T. vs Patronato
0:1
Feb 23, 2025 Primera Nacional
Patronato vs San Martin T.
0:1
Oct 6, 2024 Primera Nacional
Patronato vs San Martin T.
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Patronato Compare

Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

San Martin T. Compare

Top Goalscorer Veliez A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Patronato 41 / 100
San Martin T. 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Patronato San Martin T.

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Patronato Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: San Martin T. conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

Solid form: Patronato remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Patronato scored in 52% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 0.80 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Patronato VS San Martin T.
1.25 Goals Scored 1.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Patronato

(Home)
21 Sept
Nueva Chicago
1 : 1
Patronato
13 Sept
Patronato
0 : 0
Temperley
06 Sept
Deportivo Maipu
0 : 0
Patronato
30 Aug
Patronato
0 : 1
Almagro
26 Aug
Patronato
2 : 0
Atletico Atlanta
Page 1 of 6

San Martin T.

(Away)
19 Sept
Atl. Rafaela
4 : 2
San Martin T.
13 Sept
San Martin T.
3 : 0
Agropecuario
05 Sept
Tristan Suarez
2 : 0
San Martin T.
30 Aug
San Martin T.
1 : 1
Club Atletico Guemes
23 Aug
Chacarita Juniors
1 : 2
San Martin T.
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ferro 30 17 7 6 35:25 58
2 Deportivo Moron 30 16 7 7 48:29 55
3 Godoy Cruz 30 15 7 8 38:26 52
4 Deportivo Madryn 30 13 10 7 44:28 49
5 Colon Santa Fe 30 13 9 8 38:25 48
6 Almirante Brown 30 12 10 8 23:17 46
7 CA Estudiantes 30 11 9 10 27:25 42
8 Ciudad Bolivar 30 9 12 9 24:27 39
9 Los Andes 30 8 13 9 22:20 37
10 Chaco For Ever 30 9 9 12 27:29 36
11 Defensores de Belgrano 30 8 12 10 23:26 36
12 Racing Cordoba 30 9 8 13 26:36 35
13 All Boys 30 6 14 10 17:26 32
14 CA Mitre 30 6 14 10 27:37 32
15 Central Norte 30 6 13 11 19:28 31
16 San Miguel 30 6 13 11 24:34 31
17 San Telmo 30 7 10 13 23:34 31
18 Acassuso 30 6 8 16 21:34 26
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tristan Suarez 30 14 12 4 31:15 54
2 Temperley 30 14 11 5 36:24 53
3 Gimnasia Jujuy 30 15 8 7 45:36 53
4 Atletico Atlanta 30 15 4 11 34:28 49
5 Midland 30 13 8 9 34:25 47
6 San Martin S.J. 30 12 9 9 33:27 45
7 Gimnasia y Tiro 30 12 9 9 31:27 45
8 Atl. Rafaela 30 11 9 10 25:26 42
9 Deportivo Maipu 30 11 8 11 37:31 41
10 Colegiales 30 11 7 12 29:30 40
11 San Martin T. 30 9 12 9 32:30 39
12 Agropecuario 30 9 9 12 26:34 36
13 Quilmes 30 9 8 13 28:27 35
14 Almagro 30 9 8 13 26:36 35
15 Nueva Chicago 30 8 9 13 22:29 33
16 Patronato 30 5 16 9 24:31 31
17 Chacarita Juniors 30 8 6 16 22:31 30
18 Club Atletico Guemes 30 5 8 17 23:51 23
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)