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Pazinka vs Cres

Croatia Croatia

3. HNL West
Pazinka Logo

Pazinka

2 - 1
FT
Cres Logo

Cres

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Pazinka in this 3. HNL West matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Pazinka.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Pazinka
20%
Draws
40%
Cres
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Pazinka lately — more wins on the board than Cres.
  • Win probability leans Cres's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular 3. HNL West form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Pazinka Clean Sheet 15%
Cres Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pazinka Cres
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 8
Draws 7 6
Losses 10 16
Goals Scored 1.23 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 21, 2022 3. HNL West
Pazinka vs Cres
2:1
Nov 27, 2021 3. HNL West
Cres vs Pazinka
0:0
Mar 27, 2021 3. HNL West
Pazinka vs Cres
1:0
Sep 12, 2020 3. HNL West
Cres vs Pazinka
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pazinka 10 / 100
Cres 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pazinka Cres

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cres Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pazinka found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Cres has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Pazinka remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Pazinka VS Cres
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Pazinka

(Home)
08 Aug
Karlovac
1 : 1
Pazinka
28 May
Uljanik Pula
4 : 0
Pazinka
21 May
Pazinka
2 : 1
Cres
14 May
Naprijed Hreljin
0 : 1
Pazinka
07 May
Pazinka
0 : 2
NK Pomorac
Page 1 of 6

Cres

(Away)
28 May
Cres
7 : 1
Naprijed Hreljin
21 May
Pazinka
2 : 1
Cres
14 May
Cres
3 : 1
Buje
07 May
Vinodol
1 : 0
Cres
30 Apr
Cres
1 : 1
Jadran Porec
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Crikvenica 26 18 2 6 53:24 56
2 Grobnican 26 16 7 3 66:23 55
3 Jadran Porec 26 16 6 4 59:22 53
4 Pazinka 26 12 5 9 31:33 41
5 Krk 26 12 3 11 40:42 39
6 Uljanik Pula 26 10 7 9 44:32 37
7 Novigrad 26 10 6 10 39:39 36
8 Rudar Labin 26 11 3 12 37:39 36
9 Cres 26 8 5 13 36:44 29
10 Nehaj Senj 26 7 8 11 26:40 29
11 Buje 26 9 2 15 22:36 29
12 NK Pomorac 26 7 5 14 32:62 26
13 Vinodol 26 5 9 12 31:47 24
14 Naprijed Hreljin 26 5 4 17 24:57 19
Promotion - Prva NL 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - 3. HNL - Promotion Play Offs (Main)