Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera Division - Group 10 2011/2012

Murallas de Ceuta FC

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

PD Rociera play Murallas de Ceuta FC in the Tercera Division - Group 10 2011/2012. It looks like a close match. Recently, PD Rociera averaged 1.06 goals scored and 1.91 conceded. Murallas de Ceuta FC averaged 0.83 goals scored and 1.47 conceded. In past meetings, PD Rociera won 1, Murallas de Ceuta FC won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jan 28, 2012 ended 3:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.23 for PD Rociera and 1.31 for Murallas de Ceuta FC. This points to a Murallas de Ceuta FC double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%

PD Rociera

27%

Draws

38%

Murallas de Ceuta FC

Draw rate projection: 27% Favored: Murallas de Ceuta FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

PD Rociera picked up more points recently compared to Murallas de Ceuta FC.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.23 vs 1.31 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 60%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 74%

Over 2.5 Goals 60%

Over 3.5 Goals 36%

Over 4.5 Goals 18%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 54%

PD Rociera Clean Sheet 18%

Murallas de Ceuta FC Clean Sheet 12%

First Half Goal 67%

Second Half Goal 70%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	PD Rociera	Murallas de Ceuta FC
Matches Played	33	30
Wins	7	7
Draws	8	9
Losses	18	14
Goals Scored	1.06	0.83
Goals Conceded	1.91	1.47

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 28, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 10

PD Rociera vs Murallas de Ceuta FC

Possession: 58% - 58% Cards: 3 - 4

3:1

Sep 10, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 10

Murallas de Ceuta FC vs PD Rociera

Possession: 56% - 40% Cards: 3 - 0

3:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

PD Rociera 35 / 100

Murallas de Ceuta FC 37 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

PD Rociera Murallas de Ceuta FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Murallas de Ceuta FC or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +29.5%

3.70

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +11%

1.85

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

PD Rociera attacking → ← attacking Murallas de Ceuta FC

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

PD Rociera scored in 64% of their last 33 games.

Murallas de Ceuta FC let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

PD Rociera went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Murallas de Ceuta FC lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

29 Points in last 5 30

1.25 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

1.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Sanluqueno	38	28	5	5	81:32	89
2	CD San Fernando	38	22	8	8	88:52	74
3	Mairena	38	20	11	7	64:32	71
4	Coria C.F.	38	20	8	10	72:46	68
5	Sevilla C	38	20	6	12	67:46	66
6	Algeciras	38	17	8	13	57:50	59
7	CD Alcala	38	13	18	7	58:52	57
8	Atl. Onubense (Huelva B)	38	16	6	16	59:55	54
9	Cadiz B	38	13	11	14	53:53	50
10	Cordoba B	38	11	12	15	35:37	45
11	Conil	38	11	12	15	47:68	45
12	Pozoblanco	38	10	15	13	47:49	45
13	Antoniano	38	10	13	15	31:45	43
14	San Roque de Cadiz	38	11	9	18	53:67	42
15	Arcos CF	38	9	13	16	45:63	40
16	Portuense	38	8	15	15	41:53	39
17	Ayamonte	38	10	8	20	46:72	38
18	Murallas de Ceuta FC	38	9	11	18	34:51	38
19	Marinaleda	38	9	11	18	39:59	38
20	PD Rociera	38	9	8	21	40:75	35